|
I don't really see any of the other candidates being nearly as certain to be a good President, based on their prior experience, as Clark. Perhaps one of you can convince me otherwise, though.
First, a look at what I think the President does. The President sets a direction for the country, both domestically and in foreign policy. To that end, he works with Senators and congressmen to identify legislation to propose. However the other major responsibility of the President is to run the Executive Branch, and I believe that this is what the President spends most of his time doing. As head of the executive branch, the President meets with his Cabinet, digesting information about the state of the projects they are pursuing, identifying places where a new direction is needed, and making decisions about how to accomplish the tasks at hand. This is a traditional management task, it involves keeping a broad view of the issues, noticing trends developing over time, prioritizing tasks, and delegating authority.
Dean was a governor, running a large organization. Apparently he did a good job, because he was repeatedly reelected. Dean therefore has demonstrated skill at leading a large organization. He would be effective at running the Executive Branch. The organization he led, however, was the state of Vermont, which has a smaller population than many of America's large cities. Stepping up to the federal level is therefore a big jump, a bigger jump than, say, it was for the former governor of Texas.
Kerry was Lieutenant Governor of Massachussets when Dukakis was Governor. I'm not certain, but I believe that job is similar to the job of Vice President--largely involved with the actions of a legislative body. This is an appropriate role for someone who has training as a lawyer (which Kerry does), but I don't think it involves the kind of management skills that Governor requires. He did, however, see the Governor do his job up close, and should know what it entails, even if he didn't have specific experience running a large organization. Kerry didn't go on to become Governor; he went into the Senate, which I see as more in line with his experience and training as a lawyer. To some extent, then, I see Kerry as lacking experience that shows he can be successful as a manager per se.
Clark's experience in the military was more like being a governor than like being a Lieutenant Governor or a Senator or a lawyer. In fact, I believe it was more like being a President than being a Governor was for Dean. Dean dealt with Vermont's concerns and the conflict between Vermont's interests and the federal government's. He interacted with Canada to a limited extent, but Canada is a close ally (or at least was while Dean was Governor of Vermont). Dean doesn't have any real experience with foreign diplomacy, just like Bush didn't.
In addition to running an organization with more people in it than live in Vermont, Clark had to run his organization efficiently to meet a budget, just like Dean did. Clark had the added dimension, however, especially as NATO SAC Europe, of dealing with international politics, complete with allies, neutral countries, and enemies, all of whom have world-views fairly independent of the American world view.
One thing that everyone in the military agrees on is that Clark was a very effective leader and commander of the people under his command. Even Shelton agrees with this. Clark succeeded at every level of command that he was assigned, including a very complex command for NATO. News stories have made it clear that he was decisive in commanding the NATO forces against Milosevic; that he had ideas that were proven to be correct about how to end the conflict with Milosevic, and that he got those ideas enacted, not only on his own but in coalition with a diverse set of European countries.
I really don't see how even Kerry's experience in the Senate compares to that. Yes, Kerry knows far better than Clark what has happened in the Senate in the past few decades. But Kerry doesn't have a proven track record of executive management, which is most of the job the President does. Clark as President can get someone like Kerry to advise him on the history of an issue when it comes up; Kerry as President cannot get someone to deal with the management issues. The management issues, the executive choices, the responsibility of choosing a direction for the country are the sole job of the President.
Edwards doesn't even have the background in American politics that Kerry has to go on; all he has are the skills of a successful lawyer, and the experience of a single Senate term. Edwards has a lot of potential, but it looks to me like choosing Edwards would be a huge risk: a risk that he would actually be good at a complex management job without any management experience, and a risk that his understanding of the issues is profound enough to help him set a good direction, both in domestic policy (which he has some experience doing) and in foreign policy (which he apparently has no experience in).
Comments?
|