Who drops out tomorrow? Predictions:

[Endangered Specie]

Give odds on all seven...

Lieberman - 75%
Kucinich - 60%
Sharpton - 10%
Edwards - 1%
Clark - 5%
Dean - 0%
Kerry - -0%

On edit: clarification thanks to kcwayne

[kcwayne]

1. Why would anyone drop out tonight?

The primary is tomorrow.

[BootinUp]

7. LOL!

oops

[Endangered Specie]

10. fixed that

guess I thought it was on monday bc Iowa was.

Snow has effect on intelligence I guess?

On edit: After all, didnt Braunj drop out a day or 2 before the Iowa caucus?

[JohnLocke]

2. here

Lieberman - 70%
Kucinich - 10%
Sharpton - 15%
Edwards - .1%
Clark - .1%
Dean - .1%
Kerry - -.1%

[aldian159]

3. Looks like the Joementum

is about to skid to a huge halt...

[Poseidon]

4. No one

No one will drop out tomorrow. Lieberman will stay in till February 3rd. When he does not win any delegates on February 3rd, Lieberman will drop out. All the rest of the candidates will stay in until at least March 2nd.

Here are odds:

Lieberman: 10%
Kucinich: 8%
Edwards 2%
Sharpton 2%
Kerry 1%
Clark 1%
Dean 1%

[mot78]

5. Joe has "Joementum" and Kucinich and Sharpton are in until the convention

[morgan2]

6. the only one i could see dropping out

is Dean if he has a really poor performance. Lieberman and Kucinich don't have very high expectations for NH I don't think. Sharpton has no expectations. None of these three are going to drop out after this except maybe Lieberman if he gets below 4%.

[MercutioATC]

19. Dean has more money than God right now...he's in it regardless of the #'s

He can afford to ride out a few disappointing primaries, if need be.

[Walt Starr]

8. I wish that there were Vegas odds like this

I'd bet thousands against Lieberman dropping out tonight!

Nobody in their right mind would be dropping out tonight.

[Poseidon]

9. Haha, damn

I thought I was seeing things, Walt! I had made my post and then I was editing mine when I realized that the original poster had edited his! :kicks himself:

[blackcat77]

11. Lieberman *will* drop out

Dean might if he finishes fourth or worse. Say 25% chance of that. Everybody else is 0.

[jenk]

12. Joe needs to get the Liebermessage

bye bye

[dolstein]

13. I don't think anyone will drop out before 2/3

NT

[sistersofmercy]

31. I agree

[AntiCoup2K4]

35. This might be the first time I ever agreed with Dolstein, but he's right.

Gephardt bet all of his cards on Iowa, and everybody knew he was gone when he didn't come in first. I don't see anyone else dropping out after a single state primary when the first multi-primary is only one more week away.

[Edge]

14. Hopefully Lieberman.

[mikehiggins]

15. Why on earth would you think Clark would drop out?

methinks you guys are believing too much in the three P's--polls, pollsters and pundits.

Have faith in the 4-stars!

(ouch! Even I can't believe I wrote that)

[sleipnir]

24. If Clark doesn't finish 3rd, it'll be a tough road ahead

Just because the Media will ignore him and not give him free press. He'll lose more points in "bounce" to 1-3rd places, and I see a 4th finish for Clark as a dark, dark day. I sure hope it doesn't happen, as it looks like he's catching fire outside of NH, but a poor finish would be extremly bad for the aforementioned reasons.

[Auntie Bush]

28. It's going to be a tough road ahead for everyone!

and Clark doesn't quit when the going gets tough. Neither do I!
I'll be here through thick and thin!

[Cheswick2.0]

16. Lieberman, DK and Sharpton should

Enough is enough. Edwards and Kerry did well in NH and should not drop out. Dean is the one with the money to continue and he has a national organization so he doesn't need to go anywhere.
But DK, Joe Lieberman and Sharpton don't have either the support or the money to stay in. Clark is kind of up in the air.

[Poseidon]

18. Don't tell DK to drop out!

At least DK has been honest throughout the campaign, unlike some candidates. *cough* *cough*

[MuseRider]

30. You want the

guy with the most different platform vs Bush* to drop out and keep in the one with the best organization and the most money? Really? Hmmmm, interesting concept.

[Freddie Stubbs]

34. Most different doens't necessarily more good

Lyndon Larouche is even more different that Bush. that doesn't mean hi the the guy to take on Bush.

[ozone_man]

37. That's right there can be extremes either way.

You can be so close to Bush, that there is hardly no difference, as *cough* some candidates, and you can be so far out in left field that there is no way you can be elected like Kucinich. Mind you that I agree with most of what DK says, but it just won't fly with the Democratic Party not to mention the general election.

[On the Road]

17. Nobody Will Drop Out After NH

Lieberman might drop out after Feb 3.

Sharpton and Kucinich will keep going unless they just plain run out of money.

Dean will soldier on even if he has a poor showing in NH and on Feb 3. He's built a national strategy, and will keep using his organization to build delegates as long as he can.

I think this race will be longer and closer than people expect. It won't be decided until at least March.

[mlawson]

22. I agree: no one. eom

[Victor Wong]

20. Lieberman = 75%, Dean = 80%, Clark = 70%

Sharpton = 100%
Kusinich = 100%

Kerry = 0%
Edwards = 0%

[0007]

36. Me thinks, Mr. Victor Wong Wrong!

[bushwakker]

21. No one

the entire field moves on.

[ncrainbowgrrl]

23. Welcome to DU!

Pull up a chair and stay a while!

[bushwakker]

25. thanks

Been lurking for awhile - don't like all the infighting though. I strongly support Kerry but I like all the candidates (exceptions Lieberman and Sharpton) and will not trash Dean, Edwards or Clark. The Shrub must be beaten.

[Logansquare]

27. You're not alone. Anyone But Bush! nt

[adamrsilva]

26. Lieberman's the only who might be dropping out

But I doubt it.

[Kathleen04]

29. No one.

I'd say Joe..but saw him on TV saying he's heading to Delaware and SC after NH, so it sounds like he's intent on staying. I'll bet he's out after Feb. 3rd.

[BlueStateGirl]

32. I just heard Begala say Clark or Leiberman. Clark has the $$$ to say in

and fight through the 3rd. I think if Joe comes in 5th he has to go.

[Amager]

33. The only one who has a lot to lose is Dean if he come in worse than 2nd

I don't see any of them dropping out tomorrow. Super Tuesday is more important than tomorrow.