jeter
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Tue Jan-27-04 02:42 AM
Original message |
My prediction: Kerry wins NH by more than 10% |
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Dean will be finished after tomorrow. Edwards finishes third which will be spun like a victory.
Clark and Lieberman will be toast after today. Both will finish in single digits.
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Syrinx
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Tue Jan-27-04 02:44 AM
Response to Original message |
1. I think Edwards and Dean will be on Kerry's tail! |
onebigbadwulf
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Tue Jan-27-04 03:05 AM
Response to Original message |
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that's crazy talk.
There's no way Kerry will win by more than 5 pts at BEST.
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jsw_81
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Tue Jan-27-04 05:29 AM
Response to Reply #2 |
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Personally, I think Kerry will win by about ten points. Some polls have him up by twenty.
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overground1
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Tue Jan-27-04 05:35 AM
Response to Reply #9 |
10. Those are 3 day averages in tracking polls - it has tightened |
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which does not show up in these kinds of polls. They are terrible short-term predictors for fluid races.
Kerry's Iowa bounce has subsided, and Dean has made a strong comeback. Daily snapshot polls show them within the margin of error. Also what is not as visable in the 3 day tracking polls is just how much Clark has dropped.
I'm predicting:
Hamm Dean Kerry Edwards Lieberman Clark
With Sharpton and Kucinich not even registering in whole numbers.
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overground1
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Tue Jan-27-04 05:38 AM
Response to Reply #10 |
11. Oh, but I know, there are 8 people in Dixville who disagree with me... |
JCMach1
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Tue Jan-27-04 03:08 AM
Response to Original message |
3. Kerry but by less than 5% |
La_Serpiente
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Tue Jan-27-04 03:12 AM
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frankly, I think if Dean is not first, he will come in a strong second.
On top of that, the race is so close, the independents will be the ones deciding it, not so much the Democrats.
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overground1
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Tue Jan-27-04 03:13 AM
Response to Original message |
5. I'm predicting a Hamm upset |
ShaneGR
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Tue Jan-27-04 03:15 AM
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6. As an Edwards guy, I tend to agree |
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Lots of MO, and I expect his turnout to be high in his neighboring state. I've predicted Iowa redux:
1. Kerry 2. Edwards 3. Dean 4. Clark 5. Lieberman 6. Kucinich 7. Sharpton
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sventvkg
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Tue Jan-27-04 05:21 AM
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7. You are making me sick...Get em out!!!! |
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Dean or Clark!!!!!!! our only choice...get the other guys out...
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AnnitaR
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Tue Jan-27-04 05:25 AM
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that Kerry gets his ass handed to him on a platter.
Then this thing gets real interesting!
Dean Clark Kerry Edwards
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lcordero
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Tue Jan-27-04 06:08 AM
Response to Reply #8 |
12. Clark had a headstart in New Hampshire |
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that gives me enough reason to think that he can win in NH
Early bird catches the worm
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kentuck
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Tue Jan-27-04 06:12 AM
Response to Original message |
13. I would be surprised if Kerry won by that wide of a margin... |
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Edited on Tue Jan-27-04 06:13 AM by kentuck
Since there are so many "independents" that don't tend to vote for the known liberal??
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Thu Apr 25th 2024, 09:47 AM
Response to Original message |