MSNBC first exit polls released at 4 pm eastern

[bearfartinthewoods]

they just teased it

[elixir]

1. I told you they wouldn't wait until the polls close. They have to

keep talking to crank the ratings!

[Justice]

4. They Want to Reinforce Their Message

Clark going down.

[Kira]

2. Please...

tell me how this is possible. I thought this wasn't allowed. Doesn't this influence other voters to maybe stay home?

[bearfartinthewoods]

5. it isn't illegal

but it does suck

[MercutioATC]

9. All they do is ask people how they voted and report it. Nothing illegal

about it.

Unfortunately, I think it DOES have a negative effect on the process.

[Freddie Stubbs]

17. Freedom of the press

This wouldn't be allowed in most other countries.

[cthrumatrix]

3. this sholdl be illegal ..people need to vote

[Freddie Stubbs]

21. Too bad we have freedom of the press

Then we could make this illegal.

[Jack_Dawson]

6. Blasphemy

I thought they did away with this crap? They at least waited til 8:00:01 to call the Schwarzenegger election.

[Kira]

7. They don't have a

problem being fair to the Repugs. I was angry when CNN "unofficially" called Iowa for Kerry at7:00. They hadn't even started discussing anything yet.

[West Coast Democrat]

8. Drudge Leaked the CA early returns in the early afternoon

long before the polls closed.

[incapsulated]

11. Most people aren't reading Drudge

But they watch tv.

[West Coast Democrat]

15. People into politics do....Especially a lot of people at DU!

[incapsulated]

18. I'm talking about average voters...

the people who might be influenced by exit-polling.

I doubt it would stop any of us on DU from voting, even if it was bad news.

[WI_DEM]

10. they love this sort of thing

They won't officially give the results but they will make hints about the direction it is going in--anything to stop people from actually going and vote.

[ps1074]

12. Kos just posted some unofficial 1 pm exit poll results

Kerry in the lead with Dean in close second within the MOE. You can go check it out at www.dailykos.com

[underpants]

13. I'm not watching but I'll make a guess:Clark is doing better than expected

I'm reading this in between the lines. Fox and CNN are all over him trying to say he is finished. The indies might give him a big showing and they are trying to stave it off. Just a guess.

[Snivi Yllom]

14. Early returns...Kerry 36, Dean 31, Edwards 12, Clark 12

http://www.nationalreview.com/thecorner/04_01_25_corner-archive.asp#023784

SOURCES SAY IN EARLY RETURNS:
Kerry 36, Dean 31, Edwards 12, Clark 12

granted this is from National Review....uggghhhh

[Adjoran]

16. oh, please

Just how many people do you think see an early forecast and change their vote or don't vote? It might have some slight effect if the big broadcast networks did it, but these cable and internet news sources have miniscule audiences, most of whom are political junkies like me who are going to vote no matter what they say.

[RobinA]

19. I've Always Thought

that broadcasting early returns would hurt the frontrunner. "My guy's winning, no sense hauling myself to the polls." As opposed to "Yikes, I better get down there, my guy is losing." I guess it deoends on your temperment.

[incapsulated]

20. Latest from dailykos

Update 2: Here are the 1 p.m. exit poll numbers I've been able to get my hands on (from a media source. Caveat emptor):

LA Times:
Dean 34
Kerry 33

ABC News:

Kerry 37
Dean 31

In both these polls, both Clark and Edwards are hovering around 12 percent.

The National Review's The Corner has Kerry 36, Dean 31, Edwards 12 and Clark 12. Probably the ABC News tracking poll with Kerry's number rounded down.

[West Coast Democrat]

26. Someone at Daily Kos Claims these are the MSNBC numbers

(I guess we'll see...)

*****

From a former Kennedy staffer (none / 0)

From a former Kennedy press secretary:
MSNBC:
Kerry 37
Dean 29
Edwards 15
Clark 12

The Kerry people believe these numbers will get closer, and that Kerry will win by 5. They also believe Edwards will go up a couple as well.

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2004/1/27/185137/760

[arcos]

22. 4.05PM EST... where are they? n/t

[Mass_Liberal]

23. they're running

a bit late. 4:12. no polls. Please post em' when you see them

[feckerman]

24. Never have watched MSNBC -

and have no intention to start, afterall, they can't even figure out when to report news on their own station.

[crissy71]

25. watching Iowa Caucus on CPAN and then changing to

the Whore channels MSNBC and CNN was like hanging on a nice beach in the Caribean and then being tossed into general population at Sing Sing

[arcos]

27. Is MSNBC afraid to show exit polls?

could they be contradictory with their predictions?

[returnable]

28. They're waiting to get an email from Ailes over at FOX...

:hi:

[Jack_Dawson]

30. LOL

[laruemtt]

29. oh anxiously awaiting the

karma to hit the self-righteous, self-appointed perveyors of spin. who gives a flying f about their opinions. i suggest we rename msnbc msn-et (the et for entertainment tonite) and cnn cnn-et. screw news. they don't know news from a hole in the ground.