Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

Could we have an campaign to release the poll info. I know this is old but

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
Ce qui la baise Donating Member (119 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-14-05 03:40 PM
Original message
Could we have an campaign to release the poll info. I know this is old but
we should all have the facts. Thank you.


Now, the reason for this is, in the November 2004
presidential elections, exit polls had Kerry win by
3%, official count had Bush win by 2.5%

Well, so the exit pollsters gave the explanation for
this as being that Bush voters were less likely to
respond to the exit pollsters. In order for that to
be true, however, you'd expect pollsters in precincts
which are mostly Bush voters to have a noticably lower
response rate to the pollsters and precincts with
primarily Kerry responders to have a noticably higher
response rate to the pollsters.

However, if you look at the exit poll response rates
with precincts separated out as described, precincts
with mostly Kerry voters have response rates that are
only slightly higher than the precincts with mostly
Bush voters. The difference between the two, using
the data available, is not enough to compensate for
the different between the actual election results and
exit polls.

This precinct breakdown is available in a detailed
statistical analysis by USCountVotes.org, written by 9
PhD's, one JD, and a couple others:
http://electionarchive.org/ucvAnalysis/US/Exit_Polls_2004_Edison-Mitofsky.pdf

The firm which did the exit polling, however, has not
released the full data necessary to do a more thorough
investigation of the data. They keep on saying that
republicans were just less likely to respond over and
over again. The main person who's been doing this is
Warren J. Mitofsky, founder of Mitofsky international.

Mitofsky international along with another company
performed the exit polls for a consortium of media
companies.

So, we want start an email campaign to Mitofsky to
release the full exit poll data for the November 2004
Federal Elections.

His email address is here: mitofsky@mindspring.com
More information about Mitofsky is here:
http://www.mitofskyinternational.com/company.htm
The full 2004 exit poll company is here:
http://www.exit-poll.net and their e-mail address is
here: information@exit-poll.net

I recommend e-mailing just mitofsky@mindspring.com
politely requesting him to "release the full 2004
Federal Election exit poll data".




Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
applegrove Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-14-05 03:46 PM
Response to Original message
1. Would be nice to get all the facts. Also those 'exit polls' in Texas
when Bush was elected governor that were off too (well some I hear).

The more info - the better.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Ce qui la baise Donating Member (119 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-14-05 03:50 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. That is all we are asking. thanks
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Fri Apr 26th 2024, 10:33 AM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]
 Top

Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC