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Edited on Mon Jan-16-06 12:14 PM by smoogatz
Poll after poll shows that most Americans think the invasion of Iraq was a mistake, and disapprove of Bush's conduct of the war. I think it's pretty obvious to everyone outside of the Bush misadministration and the hard-right wing of the Republican party that the political situation in Iraq will likely get a whole lot worse before it gets better, and that all-out civil war between the various factions is an almost inevitable mid-term outcome. No one--and I mean no one--believes any of Bush's rationales for invading anymore, and a substantial minority of Americans support an immediate withdrawal of US forces from Iraq. In my view, there are basically three strategic options for U.S. forces in Iraq:
1. Stay the Bushco course. Train the incompetent, impossibly corrupt and heavily infiltrated Iraqi armed forces to defend their borders and fight the insurgency while making token withdrawals of American troops, and hope the Iraqi military can stave off absolute chaos until after the '06 elections here in the US. Continue to absorb casualties at the rate of 3 dead and 20 injured per day. Upside: makes Bushco look like they have an actual plan, sort of. Downside: it's the same plan we used in Vietnam.
2.Send MORE troops in a belated attempt to fill the immense power vacuum we created by invading. Upside: with 350,000-400,000 troops on the ground in Iraq, we could easily rout the insurgents, seal the borders, restore security, finish reconstruction, and scare the hell out of the Iranians. Downside: we don't have 300,000-400,000 troops. In fact, we're scraping the bottom of the barrel just trying to maintain current troop levels.
3.Redeploy to friendly neighboring states, let the Iraqis have their civil war, and move back in only in the case of foreign invasion by Iran or Syria. Upside: this is Murtha's idea, and it sounds pretty good on paper. Downside: there are no friendly neighboring states, except Kuwait and maybe Qatar--and I don't think they want 135,000 American troops hanging around, drinking all their Budweiser.
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