NeoCon boilerplate...here they are talking about 'capitulation' to corporatism, not change.
Diamond makes a great deal of interesting points in his books and I highly recommend them, but the term 'civilization' is too imprecise for this serious discussion and, while attempting to draw analogies from 'empires' 2500 years can be informative about 'those' empires, the global homogenity that has occured, combined with technology, renders the informative value of such models useless. In short, there are too many qualitative differences to make the fit.
The thesis itself is never explained fully in that China hasn't really changed other than adapting to western economic models with it's attendent problems (rampant disease, urban crowding, enivironmental disasters, slave-like labour conditions, rapid growth, etc), but has done so without adapting to any of the social and political strategies of the west to deal with 'industrialization'.
So what is this article really saying? The change that is required is to 'jettison' those social and political strategies of course. The big problem is that those social and political strategies are vital to the working of this economic model.
What 'internalized rationale' is one going to be invented to handle these attendent problems? Religion? Confucinusism? Romanticism? Despotism?...corporatism, perhaps?
The other main point is that the west would probably not be effected that much if China collapsed tomorrow, however if the west's economy (esp. the US) were to collapse, that would effect them us and everyone greatly.
So...who is suppose to change? Why call for the collapse of a 'stable' economic system to make way for one that has might just be a flash in the pan like many economic models lately.
Anyone interested in this apocolyptic doomsayer stuff should check out how it is done and done well. Wolcott, I guess, just discovered this interview Will Pitt's truthout ran in september, by Emmanuel Todd.
http://www.truthout.org/docs_2005/091205H.shtmlEmmanuel Todd: The Specter of a Soviet-Style Crisis
Read both these articles and make up your own mind...one gets to the nuts and bolts of the actual world and one comically tries to draw some imaginary line between Ghengis Kahn and 'change'!!!