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Which candidate can bring in the most swing voters?

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conservdem Donating Member (880 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-02-04 08:09 PM
Original message
Which candidate can bring in the most swing voters?
Edited on Mon Feb-02-04 08:16 PM by conservdem
Sorry if this one has been posted before, but this probably the most important question for all that want to see Bush gone.

IMO its Clark.

Disclosure: I am also the the guy from MA that posted thread against Kerry and for Clark.

On edit: Please really think about the question and answer it honestly. Thanks.
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arewethereyet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-02-04 08:11 PM
Response to Original message
1. Only Edwards comes close to American sensibilities
because he runs on the same principles Americans all embrace.

Everyone else deviates somewhere or other.
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Meritaten1 Donating Member (241 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-02-04 08:14 PM
Response to Original message
2. Clark
He appeals to a wide cross-section of voters.
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Leilani Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-02-04 08:14 PM
Response to Original message
3. According to New Mexico paper endorsement
for Clark, they say he has best chance to bring Indys & Reps.

One of the reasons I support him...we need to rebuild our majority.
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bobbieinok Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-02-04 08:15 PM
Response to Original message
4. Clark - maybe Edwards
Not Kucinich, Dean

and unfortunately probably not Kerry. Why?? because he's (gasp, choke) 'liberal'
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corporatewhore Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-02-04 10:43 PM
Response to Reply #4
12. see post 11
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library_max Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-02-04 08:53 PM
Response to Original message
5. Well, Clark and Kerry have military experience.
Edited on Mon Feb-02-04 08:53 PM by library_max
And the primary returns indicate that Kerry had wide support among independents in New Hampshire (and some Republicans). Nationwide, Dean has shown strength among independents, crossover voters, and traditional nonvoters. I think any of the top four could appeal to swing voters. Right now, they're concentrating on Democrats, for obvious reasons. But I think any of the four has a strong case to make (not the same case, but a strong one in each case) for swing voter support.
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blm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-02-04 08:57 PM
Response to Original message
6. Why don't you check the NH numbers for Independents and GOPpers
who voted there. I do believe there are some stats available with a breakdown of all the votes per candidate.
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John_H Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-02-04 09:30 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. I'm not sure NH independents represent swing voters nationwide
Doesn't NH have one of the highest independent registration percentages?

I'd look at nationwide issue numbers and compare those to the candidate's positions and. if applicable, voting records.
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Kathleen04 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-02-04 09:44 PM
Response to Original message
8. Clark!
I also think that Edwards could also easily appeal to swing voters as well.
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xultar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-02-04 10:22 PM
Response to Original message
9. Clark! nt
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GreenArrow Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-02-04 10:24 PM
Response to Original message
10. Kerry or Clark
.
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corporatewhore Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-02-04 10:25 PM
Response to Original message
11. DK won in Ohio w/lots of reagan dem support old school cons like him
Edited on Mon Feb-02-04 10:25 PM by corporatewhore
because of his stance on patriot act libertarians and reform partyers like him because hes anti nafta greens love him hell even my anarchist friends who dont vote out of princeple are considering him
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texasmom Donating Member (490 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-02-04 11:04 PM
Response to Original message
13. Definitely Clark
...and we *have* to have the swing voters---whether people want to believe it or not. If one of our candidates can bring them over, it's Clark.

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MurikanDemocrat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-02-04 11:06 PM
Response to Original message
14. So far it's been Kerry
In IA and NH, and in most state polls so far.
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PurityOfEssence Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-02-04 11:16 PM
Response to Original message
15. Maybe, but the net gain will be much greater with Edwards
Clark may attract more crossovers, but Edwards will get a fair amount of them, plus probably more southerners, more non-voters and he'll have far less defections from the left. So even though Clark can probably pull more "swing voters" than Edwards, it'll be close, and with the other groups Edwards can pull, he's the better across-the-board candidate.

Remember: anyone who would vote for Clark in the general (haha) election will probably vote for Edwards, with the exception of some centrists, but Edwards will pull more youth vote, not lose as many lefties, and probably pull more in the South. Edwards also has a very powerful rural platform that the others don't have.

From a pure electability standpoint, I'd still say that Edwards is the one. He has a presence that will cause many of the feckless non-voters to take notice, whereas Clark is not so actively engaging. Admittedly, Clark has improved, but it's spotty and he's still not the dynamic go-out-and-engage-'em gregarious type. Edwards isn't either, exactly, but he's more earnest and extro, whereas Kerry is the most reserved of the three.

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