kentuck
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Tue Feb-03-04 05:01 PM
Original message |
Who thinks there will be any surprises tonight? |
|
:) Or will everything go as the pundits have predicted, more or less? Will Edwards do much better than just SC? Will Dean surprise in a couple of states? Will Kucinich surprise in one state? Will Kerry do as well as he is expected? Who really thinks we will make it thru tonight without a surprise or two??? :)
|
bluestateguy
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Tue Feb-03-04 05:06 PM
Response to Original message |
1. Edwards could take Oklahoma |
|
THAT would give his campaign a boost, because he was not expected to win there. It would force Clark out of the race, allowing Edwards to have the whole south to himself. The last minute endorsement by Barry Switzer may help Edwards, though I hope for his sake that those taped messages did not go out to folks in Stillwater.
|
NewYorkerfromMass
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Tue Feb-03-04 05:17 PM
Response to Reply #1 |
4. Edwards would be a huge story if he won OK. |
|
the size of Kerry's win in Mo. will be big too, especially if he passes 50%.
|
kentuck
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Tue Feb-03-04 05:31 PM
Response to Reply #4 |
8. They over-estimated Edwards in NH....is he as strong as they think |
|
and Clark beat him for third in NH. He's an attractive candidate but even with his momentum, he could not finish third? Is the same thinking at play in OK also?
|
jmaier
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Tue Feb-03-04 05:18 PM
Response to Reply #1 |
|
OK will probably be too close to grant an outright winner -- except by the slimmest margin. Even then, I think Clark will still be on top.
If I had to guess, Clark will end up with delegates in 4 states: OK, AZ, NM & ND. Edwards will end up with delegates in SC, OK & possibly MO. No clear winner between them.
Kerry wins the most states and the most delegates and remains, without dispute, the front-runner.
I don't see Clark dropping out unless he's blown out by Edwards in TN and VA.
|
anti-bush
(397 posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Tue Feb-03-04 05:46 PM
Response to Reply #1 |
|
The Switzer calls went to OU alumni and supporters. Don't know if there's any truth to that or not.
|
maxr4clark
(639 posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Tue Feb-03-04 05:10 PM
Response to Original message |
|
Bush will admit his nickname at Yale was "Chimpy".
Ed Gillespie will admit to using steroids.
Dick Cheney will admit that the whole point of attacking Iraq was to prop up the Texas economy.
Jenna Bush will admit that she plans to vote for Dennis Kucinich.
Bill Frist will be forced to admit that the white powder found in his mailroom came from an outgoing letter.
Ann Coulter and Katherine Harris will hold a press conference in Moosejaw, BC to announce that they were married last night.
Oh, and Joe-Mentum will win the Missouri primary, allowing him to stay in the race through Feb 7.
|
Hav
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Tue Feb-03-04 05:37 PM
Response to Reply #2 |
12. "Jenna Bush will admit that she plans to vote for Dennis Kucinich" |
PATRICK
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Tue Feb-03-04 05:16 PM
Response to Original message |
|
has an endless capacity to be surprised by results their incompetence could not foresee. The way the independents break has usually been more for Edwards. That would not be a real surprise if he does better than the surface polling, but he is laboring under a burden. Nor would it be a surprise if people fall into line for the powerfully good candidacy of John Kerry unless he were to overwhelm lingering doubts about electability. The media gets to define the "surprise" on their own terms.
|
xultar
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Tue Feb-03-04 05:18 PM
Response to Original message |
|
Edited on Tue Feb-03-04 05:18 PM by xultar
Kerry wins 5 Edwards wins 2 Clark drops out.
That is what I'm reading in the threads? Anyone else seeing anything different?
|
maxr4clark
(639 posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Tue Feb-03-04 05:34 PM
Response to Reply #6 |
10. Clark doesn't have any intention of dropping out, |
|
nor any reason to. He has a good message, decent support around the country, and enough money to continue on. There will still be what, 85% of the delegates up for grabs? The worry about Kerry is that he isn't electable; what if a smoking gun starts pointing at him? Clark should keep running until he is out of money. And no matter what happens tonight, I'm contributing to him tomorrow.
|
jmaier
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Tue Feb-03-04 05:36 PM
Response to Reply #6 |
11. You might infer that from some |
|
threads but you still wouldn't know jackshit -- this is online cheer and jeer-leading. It isn't information. The poll results will be revealed.
|
beyurslf
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Tue Feb-03-04 05:24 PM
Response to Original message |
Emboldened Chimp
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Tue Feb-03-04 05:33 PM
Response to Original message |
9. Surprise: Dean will bow out |
|
As I Dean supporter from the very beginning (think October '02), I'm now of the opinion that Dean is toast. I'm not going to reflect on why, because at this point it's all moot. The sad fact is, he is doing poorly in the polls and will be unlikely to register anything more than a third place finish in any primary today. I could be wrong that he'll bow out today, but I do believe it will happen very soon.
On a brighter note, Lieberman is gone after tonight for sure. Good riddance!
|
anti-bush
(397 posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Tue Feb-03-04 05:46 PM
Response to Original message |
13. Lieberman ties for first in all 7 primaries. |
|
Or is that really a surprise?
|
cbua34
(73 posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Tue Feb-03-04 06:58 PM
Response to Reply #13 |
HFishbine
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Tue Feb-03-04 05:49 PM
Response to Original message |
|
Takes two 2nd place finishes.
|
flaminbats
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Tue Feb-03-04 05:49 PM
Response to Original message |
16. I believe Al Sharpton will pull a huge surprise tonight.... |
|
he may shock everyone by coming in a strong second in South Carolina, but the real question is who would be knocked into third?
|
jenk
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Tue Feb-03-04 06:02 PM
Response to Reply #16 |
17. Edwards will hopefull win OK, crossing my fingers |
mlawson
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Tue Feb-03-04 06:45 PM
Response to Reply #17 |
|
Otherwise the media whores will all but declare Kerry the nominee.
|
flaminbats
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Tue Feb-03-04 06:57 PM
Response to Reply #17 |
20. Edwards winning Oklahoma might be considered a surprise, but not S.C.. |
SeveneightyWhoa
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Tue Feb-03-04 06:07 PM
Response to Original message |
18. I expect this surprise: |
|
Clark will win ALL SEVEN states! Yippeeee!
|
BruinAlum
(565 posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Tue Feb-03-04 07:01 PM
Response to Original message |
22. Edwards could pull off a surprise win in OK |
|
That would be a major accomplishment to go along with SC tonight.
|
DU
AdBot (1000+ posts) |
Thu Apr 18th 2024, 07:53 AM
Response to Original message |