skipos
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Wed Jul-12-06 06:52 PM
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NJ Senate: Menendez 43%, Kean 37% |
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1. If the election for United States Senator was held today, whom would you support Robert Menendez, the Democrat or Tom Kean, Jr., the Republican? Robert Menendez 43% Tom Kean, Jr. 37% Undecided 20% http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/newjersey_poll_071206.htm
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Master Mahon
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Wed Jul-12-06 06:56 PM
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1. Results interesting and scary!! |
CityDem
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Wed Jul-12-06 06:59 PM
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Not good for an incumbent to be so far under 50%. Given that Menendez was recently appointed, this may not be as big a problem. However, I am fearful of the backlash on Menendez from the NJ govt shutdown.
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Master Mahon
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Wed Jul-12-06 07:02 PM
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3. Yes but Kean has name recognition |
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perhaps even more so then Menendez. NJ has been strongly democratic and Corzine hasn't fared as badly as I thought as a result of the shutdown and new taxes.
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Awsi Dooger
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Wed Jul-12-06 07:05 PM
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4. Odds moved back in Menendez's favor |
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On Tradesports. Back to roughly 57-60%. I still don't understand that blitz move down to 50/50 on Monday.
Staggering amount of people who don't have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of either candidate. So that's behind the 20% undecided overall.
There's that huge number again, 77% expecting a homeland terrorist attack within six months. Obviously that's geography influenced because the high number is 82% in New York and now this 77% in neighboring New Jersey. The Strategic Vision polls in other state have it generally in the 71-74% range.
I'd feel 50 times better about our senate chances if I hadn't seen that fear-based consensus. Normally I can predict well but if someone had asked me the public percentage in a question like that, I would have guessed well below 50/50. It SHOULD be far below 50%, by any application of probability or logic. But since it's 70+% and with only maybe 10% saying flat no, national security concerns are front and center again in federal races this fall. I'm worried how that impacts the vote of the so-called security moms, who I was counting on to return to our camp.
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saltpoint
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Wed Jul-12-06 07:05 PM
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5. The undecideds are pretty high, but I'm hoping Menendez can |
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hold onto this seat.
Give 'em hell, New Jersey Democrats.
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creeksneakers2
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Wed Jul-12-06 09:35 PM
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6. The numbers were worse before n/t |
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