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Rasmussen: Support for Lieberman plummeting

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KurtNYC Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-31-06 01:21 PM
Original message
Rasmussen: Support for Lieberman plummeting
Just last month he mustered a fifteen-point lead over Ned Lamont in a projected three-way general election contest (with Lamont as the Democrat and Lieberman as an Independent). Now, Lieberman’s lead has disappeared. In this month’s three-way match-up, Lamont and Lieberman each get 40% of the vote. The Republican, Alan Schlesinger, attracts just 13%.

That is in a 3-way race with GOP-wanna-be Lieberman running as an Independent. But Democrats prefer Lamont:

Overall, Lieberman is viewed favorably by 58% of Connecticut voters. Just 49% say the same about Lamont. But, Lamont is more popular among Democrats (see crosstabs).

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/July%202006/connecticutSenateJuly.htm

But the big twist is:

Schlesinger has even been pressured by some to drop out because of questions about his past as a gambler. Conceivably, the GOP could then hand the nomination to Lieberman, and a rumor has been circulating to that effect.



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LincolnMcGrath Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-31-06 01:23 PM
Response to Original message
1. That last sentence made me swallow my gum, dagnabit!
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panader0 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-31-06 01:25 PM
Response to Original message
2. He might try running as a repub. His numbers would be higher
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ps1074 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-31-06 01:25 PM
Response to Original message
3. That's old news
The poll was posted several times during the last week. Still looks good though...
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KurtNYC Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-31-06 01:36 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. Was this posted also: Lamont 51% Lieberman 41% ?
Sorry if it is old for many -- it was news to me. A good news at that!

Lieberman Lagging
Lieberman (D) 41% Lamont (D) 51%

...
The latest Rasmussen Reports poll of Connecticut’s Democratic Primary shows Ned Lamont leading Lieberman 51% to 41%.

That’s a significant difference from last month when Lieberman led 46% to 40%.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/July%202006/connecticutPrimaryJuly.htm
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grytpype Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-31-06 01:27 PM
Response to Original message
4. This report is from July 23.
If you're going to post old news, you should at least say so.
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Pab Sungenis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-31-06 01:43 PM
Response to Original message
6. I've been saying that.
Watch for Joementum to officially cross the aisle August 9.
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welshTerrier2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-31-06 01:44 PM
Response to Original message
7. here's the scary script ...
Lieberman is toast whether he runs as an Independent or as a republican ... and it's hard to see how he can run as a Democrat because i think he'll lose the primary ...

if the republicans had any brains, and they might have one or two, they'd dump Schlesinger who couldn't win even if he had no opposition, and they would get Chris Shays to run instead ...

that would be a much tougher race for the Dems and Lamont would have his hands full trying to hold on to the seat ... let's hope that doesn't happen ...
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Larkspur Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-31-06 02:04 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. Shays won't run for US Senate
He supports the war as much as Lieberman does and most of CT, including Indy's oppose the war.
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welshTerrier2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-31-06 02:08 PM
Response to Reply #8
9. i hope you're right!
i'm an "outsider" when it comes to CT politics but i have the impression that Shays is highly respected ...

do you think Lamonts best chance is in a three way with Lieberman as an Indy (and Schlesinger as the repub) or in a two-way, head to head, against Shays (if Lieberman would drop out)?
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Larkspur Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-01-06 12:58 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. Shays is battling for his political life against Diane Farrell
He'd be swamped by Farrell if Farrell had the courage to endorse Ned Lamont, but she chose to endorse Lieberman. Shays is using Lieberman to beat back Farrell's anti-Iraq war message.

Shays supported the Iraq war and still does today, Lamont would beat him easily if Shays was the Republican US Senate nominee.

In a 3-way, I see Lamont winning. Lieberman will have a Dem Primary loss around his neck and the stench of losing will be high from the Lieberman camp. Lieberman will lose most of the Dem Party infrastructure support and will have to rely upon Republican money, like he is now, to fund his Indy campaign. Although, if Lieberman loses big on Tuesday, I can see the Republicans dropping off funding Lieberman's Indy campaign. Even they don't want to back a loser. They may send Lieberman enough cash to harrass Lamont but a Lieberman loss on Primary day is the end of Lieberman's elected political career.

Jodi Rell is the best Republican candidate that CT Republicans have and she's running for governor, not US Senate. And she has no ambitions to run for the Senate seat.
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CTyankee Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-01-06 03:53 PM
Response to Reply #10
12. I hear that a new Quinnipiac poll is expected soon
Don't know if it is true. Keep your fingers crossed.
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ShortnFiery Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-01-06 12:59 PM
Response to Original message
11. Yes, let's make those gutless DLCers sweat bullets! eom
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