Democrats projected within one in the House!!

[espera17]

Over at Election predictions ( http://electionpredictions.blogspot.com ), the most neutral election projection site I have found, the Democrats are now predicted to win 14 seats, one short of a House majority. Check out the site, it is absolutely fantastic.

[Olney Blue]

1. OK, where do we need to work harder?

[OrangeCountyDemocrat]

2. EVERYWHERE!!

If we are going to have any hope of taking back this country, we damn well better TAKE BACK THIS COUNTRY!

This can't even be close. We need to stab a knife through their heart, otherwise we're kidding ourself into thinking we've succeeded.

[Eric J in MN]

7. Minnesota 6th - help Patty Wetterling beat

...right-winger Michelle Bachmann (Bush was in Minnesota to raise money for Bachmann this week.)

http://www.pattywetterling.com/


"Minnesota 6th: This race is now a VERY WEAK RETENTION for the Republicans." says that election prediction blog.

[espera17]

10. yeah.. she could win

and then that would be a majority

[longship]

3. This is a very balanced site.

I think the guy is a Dem, but it's difficult to tell because he doesn't let on. I think he's a high school student, too, so he's likely not even old enough to vote.

It's a nice Web site. He's playing with techniques and stuff, so he's trying very hard to come up with a formula that works.

He doesn't update it often enough for his fans, like me. ;-)

I think we all know that the House is going to easily go 25 seats at least. This guy is pretty conservative about calling for turnovers. But I think he's pretty much ahead of the rest who are, on-the-whole, Repukes.

[espera17]

13. yeah it is

[serryjw]

4. Novak's office predicts

20-30! ( on C-Span this morning)Keep in mind this has MOST to do with turnout. The thugs are angry at * and I think the left is more motivated to come to the polls.80 days is a lifetime in politics. It could be a political Tsunami or ???

[espera17]

14. and cspan is unbiased

[bigwillq]

5. Yuck, they have LIEberman winning

:puke:

[espera17]

6. Correct assessment

With Lieberman taking the Republican and moderate Dem vote, Ned Lamont is hard pressed to win the race.

[Eric J in MN]

8. If Ned Lamont did a 2 way televised debate with Alan Schlesinger,

...then Lamont could win.

[espera17]

9. very unlikely, no way they could exclude

lieberman

[OzarkDem]

11. He has Sherrod winning

He points out a key factor, DeWine's rising disapproval rating. It keeps trending lower, especially among women.

This is great news, but we can't take anything for granted.

I don't know about all of you, but I'm going to dig deeper and contribute to my favorite Dem candidates AGAIN!

[espera17]

12. dewine is out

taft ruined any hope of DeWines reelection

[snowbear]

15. A good reason there's TOO many polls! CNN reported Dems p/u 15 > 20 seats

All within a 24 hour period, we hear KOS come out with some dismal prediction, the above poll stating Democrats will come within one, and CNN reporting this yesterday on the Situation Room:

"On our "Political Radar" this Monday: a striking political prediction. A top analyst of congressional races now believes Democrats will pick up enough seats on Election Day to reclaim the majority control of the House of Representatives. Stuart Rothenberg estimates, Democrats likely will gain 15 to 20 seats. That's up from his earlier prediction of eight to 12 seats."

How can KOS and Stuart Rothenberg come out with opposite estimates on the same day?

(edit: above info is on yesterday's CNN Situation Room at their transcripts site)

[espera17]

16. toss up

its because right now its anybodys guess as to what will happen

[salin]

17. Is that your website?

the blog entry sounds a lot like what you wrote about the Casey-Santorum debate this morning.

That aside, yours or not, looks like a good site. Interesting that all three contested races in Indiana are projected (weakly) to go dem (I hope this happens, and think it could, but don't know that I would yet project any of the races as more than a toss-up). Though the NYT interactive map agrees with the call in the 8th - the first place (i saw it earlier today than I saw this site) I have seen the district be moved from toss-up to leaning dem status.