espera17
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Mon Oct-02-06 08:35 PM
Original message |
Democrats projected to now take Senate as well as House! |
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BTW, this is a site that strives for neutrality. http://www.electionprediction.us/
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lvx35
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Mon Oct-02-06 08:37 PM
Response to Original message |
1. A lot can happen in a few weeks... |
brentspeak
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Mon Oct-02-06 08:38 PM
Response to Original message |
2. It won't happen unless all of us get off our butts and help the Dems |
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Edited on Mon Oct-02-06 08:38 PM by brentspeak
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FrenchieCat
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Tue Oct-03-06 01:55 AM
Response to Reply #2 |
8. Ku-Ching!!!!! You've got it! |
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she says, with ass off the floor, and in full rumble mode!
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Kingofalldems
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Mon Oct-02-06 08:39 PM
Response to Original message |
3. Please--no posts like this |
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We'll be jinxed. We must have the mindset that we are huge underdogs.
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Awsi Dooger
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Tue Oct-03-06 02:23 AM
Response to Reply #3 |
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Edited on Tue Oct-03-06 02:25 AM by Awsi Dooger
The betting line on senate control dropped today from 80% GOP favored down to 75%. So 1 chance in 4 is roughly the equivalent of an 8 point underdog in a football game.
If you look at the individual races it's possible to come up with +6, but that requires Democrats sweeping the tossup seats including several where we are currently the underdog, namely Missouri and Tennessee and New Jersey. The latter I'm not in agreement that we should be the underdog but that's where it is. Plus, states like Ohio and Rhode Island are hardly in the bag, perhaps slight advantages.
In '02 and '04 on this site there were tons of threads insisting we would win all the tossup seats. This year it's obviously more feasible given the national mood, but I'm still very skeptical since the states in question are red states like Ohio and Missouri and Tennessee and Virginia.
The other side is not going to forfeit so we better pretend this is a presidential year and get to the polls in droves.
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espera17
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Tue Oct-03-06 08:53 AM
Response to Reply #9 |
11. betting sites are junk |
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they were horrendous in 2004. Going by history, the parties don't win an equal amount of Senate seats each, they tend to break one way or the other. If they go GOP, then TN, OH, MO, and RI will go GOP. If they break DEM, they will all go that way.
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Eric J in MN
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Mon Oct-02-06 08:40 PM
Response to Original message |
4. A lot of those polls are within the margin-of-error, and... |
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...Republicans have a better Get-Out-the-Vote operation. To do something about the latter, "Call for Change:" http://www.moveon.org/
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proud2BlibKansan
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Mon Oct-02-06 08:41 PM
Response to Original message |
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The pukes will start swift boating the kid who corresponded with Foley. Give them a couple weeks and you never know what other dirty tricks they will play and how they may change public opinion.
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Robbins
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Mon Oct-02-06 09:51 PM
Response to Reply #5 |
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If Lieberman wins he could vote for Republican control which would throw it to 5050 and allows Cheney the tie breaking vote for control.Right now momenturem Is on for all our sitting senators to be relected. New Jersery may be breaking our way.We are on tap to keep the Minnesotta and Maryland seats.Harlod Ford Jr has a good shot at taking Frist's seat,and we could knock off Incumbents In Montana,Missouri,Pennyslvannia,Ohio,and Rhode Island.Bernie Sanders Is one of Us although he still calls himself an Independt.But If Lieberman wins and George Allen survies In Virginia we may be screwed.Let's hope Lamont can pull It off.The Woodword revelations and the Foley scandal may have put the nail In the Republicans coffin for 06 If we get out and vote.I just pray to god Lamont can previll so we can have the chance to take the senate.
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espera17
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Thu Oct-05-06 02:16 PM
Response to Reply #6 |
13. lieberman won't vote republican.. |
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he has said that at least 100 times that i have seen. he's not a dishonest guy he just isn't 100% party line
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samsingh
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Tue Oct-03-06 01:50 AM
Response to Original message |
7. new polls should be coming out soon. |
whirlygigspin
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Tue Oct-03-06 02:57 AM
Response to Reply #7 |
10. all the tools you need to get started |
samsingh
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Tue Oct-03-06 05:30 PM
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Fri Apr 26th 2024, 07:37 PM
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