Can the wide margins in today's CNN Senate polls be right?

[DeepModem Mom]

Tuesday, October 31, 2006
CNN Political Ticker AM

....The polls were conducted for CNN by Opinion Research Corporation in Missouri, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee and Virginia. The sampling error for likely voters was plus or minus 4 percentage points; for registered voters, plus or minus 3 percentage points.

In Missouri, Republican Sen. Jim Talent and his Democratic challenger State Auditor Claire McCaskill are tied at 49 percent support among LVs. Among RVs, McCaskill led 51-43 percent.

In New Jersey, Democratic Sen. Bob Menendez held a 51-44 percent edge among LVs over his GOP challenger, state Sen. Tom Kean Jr. Among RVs, Menendez led 50-38 percent.

In Tennessee, Democratic Rep. Harold Ford Jr. trailed his Republican opponent, Chattanooga Mayor Bob Corker, by a margin of 52-44 percent among LVs. Among RVs, Corker's lead was 47-45 percent.

In Virginia, Republican Sen. George Allen trailed his Democratic challenger, former Navy Secretary Jim Webb, by 50-46 percent among LVs. Among RVs, Webb led 48-46 percent....

http://www.cnn.com/POLITICS/blogs/politicalticker/index.html

[underpants]

1. Yes of course they can

psst people don't like Bush or his cronies.

They don't want to admit it (no one will dare mention this on the air) but those smelly hippy kids that told them that this war was a really really really bad idea were right!

[OrangeCountyDemocrat]

2. What That Tells Me...

If true, it tells me that Democrats are more likely to go out and vote than repubs. So, even though when they count registered repubs, not all of those are "likely" to vote this time, so the final figures might work in favor of the Dems.

Hopefully the repub GOTV will fall flat, and ours will SOAR. If registered Dems vote en masse, it will be much more difficult to justify a theft. What are they going to do, say that all those Dems switched sides? LOL!!

[soothsayer]

6. they say they're better than us at getting out the vote, so beware!

[cosmik debris]

3. I don't see wide margins

The sampling error indicates that these are all statistical ties.

[soothsayer]

5. that's what I see too

[DeepModem Mom]

7. In either LVs or RVs, McCaskill over Talent by 8...

Menendez over Kean by 12, Corker over Ford by 8. I haven't seen numbers like that.

[TheVirginian]

13. Menendez's 12 point lead is among RVs, not LVs.

[KKKarl is an idiot]

4. It's starting to

look good. Hope we can maintain this momentum.

[KoKo]

8. CNN's Bill Schneider said "Beware the Raising of Expectations" because

when the Expectation is too high...the fall is greater. He was smiling as he said that.

[Whalesaver]

9. can't wait for wednesday morning

we will all see what a landslide really looks like and if this country will do a turn around or not

[DeepModem Mom]

11. Same here, Whalesaver -- welcome to DU!!!

[Tiggeroshii]

10. If so, then Ford is truly in the gutter... n/t

[fuzzyball]

12. The final results will be better than the polls are showing...

for the democratic party. I really believe that
since people are afraid to admit to pollsters they
are against the war since they think that may be
construed as not supporting the troops.

[Sensitivity]

14. Just shows that Ten Racist tactics worked. Everything else is as expected