Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

What are your predictions for TN and VA tomorrow?

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
spooky3 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-09-04 08:01 PM
Original message
What are your predictions for TN and VA tomorrow?
Who will win each? Will the margin of victory be small or great? Any other comments?
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
Tweed Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-09-04 08:02 PM
Response to Original message
1. sadly....
TN VA
Kerry 29% Kerry 35%
Clark 27% Edwards 20%
Edwards 14% Clark 20%
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Democrats unite Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-09-04 08:20 PM
Response to Original message
2. My only prediction for tomorrow is that the sun will come up...
But then again with Bush in the White House, that might not even happen!
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
democracy eh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-09-04 08:30 PM
Response to Original message
3. a TN surprise
Edited on Mon Feb-09-04 08:32 PM by democracy eh


VA
Kerry, Clark, Edwards - Kerry by 10 points, Clark and Edwards close together

TN
Clark, Kerry, Edwards - Clark in another squeaker by 2 or 3 in a close race

I just have a gut feeling about TN



added punctuation on edit
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
spooky3 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-09-04 08:35 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. LOL, love that Johnny C. photo!
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
texasmom Donating Member (490 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-09-04 09:36 PM
Response to Reply #3
9. I heard something on NPR tonight
saying it's a three way race for first in Tennessee.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
knight_of_the_star Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-09-04 08:32 PM
Response to Original message
4. I have a feeling
That Clark will get first by a single percentage point or maybe a little more, and gain a solid second in Virginia, possibly even a first there. Either way, I think that Edwards is going to be locked out of the top two in both states.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
arewethereyet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-09-04 09:22 PM
Response to Original message
6. here goes
Tenn: JK-32 JE-28 WC-18
VA: JK-32 JE-30 WC-14
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
adadem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-09-04 09:27 PM
Response to Reply #6
8. I think you're
pretty darn close. :toast:
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
arewethereyet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-09-04 09:37 PM
Response to Reply #8
10. I hope so, guess we'll all find out
I exepct the order is right but the percentages ? who knows ?
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Rooktoven Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-09-04 10:24 PM
Response to Reply #6
12. I agree with order, not as optimistic on numbers--
TN
Kerry 40 Edwards 25 Clark 23

VA Kerry 38 Edwards 29 Clark 15
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
quinnox Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-09-04 09:26 PM
Response to Original message
7. Kerry - Kerry - Kerry - Kerry - Kerry (in a chant)
John Kerry 2004 "America's Choice"

Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
creativelcro Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-09-04 10:11 PM
Response to Reply #7
11. is that the moralistic finger ? Or the other one ?
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DjTj Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-09-04 10:37 PM
Response to Original message
13. Kerry - Edwards - Clark
VA: Kerry-35%, Edwards-29%, Clark 17%

TN: Kerry-31%, Edwards-28%, Clark-26%

Despite these predictions, I still believe in my heart that Edwards will somehow win Virginia! I don't know how it's going to happen, but I've done all I can to try to make it a reality ... too bad Gov. Warner stabbed me in the back.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
flaminbats Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-09-04 11:28 PM
Response to Reply #13
16. Kerry shall win both...
Edited on Mon Feb-09-04 11:35 PM by flaminbats
VA: Kerry-47%, Edwards-29%, Clark 17%

TN: Kerry-35%, Edwards-28%, Clark-29%

If Clark wins second in either state, he may not dropout until March. Otherwise he will probably dropout immediately.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Dinger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-09-04 11:08 PM
Response to Original message
14. Kerry 1st in Both, Clark in 2nd in both
I want some input on this before I e-mail it to the editor of my local paper (Wausau Daily Herald-Wisc.) They had 2 Kerry articles and nothing on Clark. I have never got a letter in, so this is only my first effort. It is long, but if submitted as a guest, it can be longer. I welcome all consrutctive criticism.


Dear Editor:

I read the editorials on Sen. John Kerry in your Feb. 9th issue, and they made good points. One writer gave numerous examples of what is wrong with the present administration, and ended with a single example of why he is voting for Kerry.
The other was a poignant letter about someone in the Big Brothers/Big Sisters program who enlisted in the Marine Corps, and served in Iraq. He also is a Kerry supporter. There were several things not included in these editorials that also deserve consideration.
My candidate is Four-Star General Wesley Clark. Like Kerry, General Clark also had doubts about the Vietnam War, however, unlike Kerry, he didn’t throw his medals over the fence of the Capitol in protest. Clark chose to protest in a more appropriate way, such as taking a closer look at what was happening, and discussing it at West Point (and elewhere), where there were other cadets who also had questions about the conflict.
When it comes to military records, there really are many differences between Wesley Clark and John Kerry. The story of how Wesley Clark received his Silver Star is really quite amazing. After being shot 4 times, he directed a counterattack and successfullyled his platoon to safety. In yet another example of Wesley Clark’s heroism: Early in the Bosnian Mission, Clark recovered the bodies of 3 American diplomats on a negotiating team, after a French armored personnel carrier rolled down a mountainside as they were on their way to Sarjevo. Clark tied a rope to a tree and rappelled down the mountainside to help with the rescue and to recover the dead. I don’t know if he received a medal for this effort, but he did earn the respect of many people for his actions.
In his role as NATO Supreme Allied Commander, he led a successful campaign in which there was not the loss of a single American soldier. Besides that, the lives of 1.5 million Ethnic Albanians were saved. There is nobody in this campaign that can touch that accomplishment, including Presiden t Bush.
I could write a book on General Clark’s accomplishments, or maybe a movie script, but since that isn’t possible, these are the reasons he has my vote:

•He has more experience in leadership than anyone in this campaign.
•When he was smeared by a jealous General, he immediately opened up his military
records. The general in question has consistently to refused to elaborate or explain his
accusations. This is only one example why Wesley Clark has earned my trust.
•He has a very broad range of experience, far beyond any of the other candidates.
Business, foreign relations, diplomatic (ex: Dayton Peace Accords), education,
political (responsible for housing, educational, healthcare of tens of thousands of
military families), and infrastructureare only some examples.
•He is not beholdin’ to any group. He is not a career politician. This means your voice
will be heard.
• His character and integrity are above reproach. I have given examples of this.
• His 38-year record of distinguished service to this great country. This truly sets
him apart from the rest.
• He has a plan to get us out of the mess in Iraq and bring our soldiers home.
•Despite the media blackout, Clark draws huge crowds and is on sound financial
ground. He has a stong base of support. Don’t let the media select the nominee
for you.
• He is the most likely candidate to beat George Bush. He has a brilliant and
extensive military record , as well as southern roots. He has accomplished more
in 4 months than any of the other candidates have in almost 2 years. Here is a man
that knows what efficiency means.

Please consider voting for General Wesley Clark, a national treasure.

Lori
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
BootinUp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-09-04 11:32 PM
Response to Reply #14
17. looks good
I'd send it just like that.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Vadem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-09-04 11:20 PM
Response to Original message
15. Yep, I'm voting for Dean! I've completed my pledge for $100.00
today for Howard and I will vote for him in tomorrow's primary. I feel the media destroyed the Dean Machine by constantly playing the "scream", even after Diane Sawyer and even CNN admitted that the video they had played nonstop was incorrect; the microphone that Howard was using blocked out the crowd screams, so that we only heard Howard; of course, who, but we, on DU ever heard their apologies??? I hate the media. When the new DEM president gets in the White House, we must insist that he bring back the Fairness Doctrine!
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
mohc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-09-04 11:37 PM
Response to Original message
18. Its beginning to look like
Clark won't get the 15% minimum in VA, at least according to the recent polls. As an Edwards supporters, I'm not sure if this is a good or bad thing. If Clark falls below 15%, Kerry is going to walk away with over half the delegates from VA, since Edwards is the only other candidate that would get delegates and is still trailing by a significant amount. On the other hand, Edwards I guess has to be hoping to win in the long run since he is not going to win tomorrow, and coming in below 15% might hasten that. TN looks to be much closer, I have not see one where Edwards lead over Clark was greater than the MoE, so its anyones game. But once again Kerry seems to be a relatively safe 10+ points ahead. My guess as of now:

VA
Kerry 40%
Edwards 28%
Clark 12%
Dean 10%
Sharpton 7%
Kucinich 3%

TN
Kerry 37%
Edwards 27%
Clark 24%
Dean 7%
Sharpton 3%
Kucinich 2%
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Nicholas_J Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-09-04 11:44 PM
Response to Original message
19. Kerry, Virginia.
Tennessee too close to call either Kerry or Edwards. probably Kerry.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Jack_Dawson Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-09-04 11:45 PM
Response to Original message
20. Clark and Clark
:hi:
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Tue Apr 23rd 2024, 09:53 AM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]
 Top

Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC