Rasmussen Reports cooking the books? Statistical experts check-in here

[kansasblue]

The president continues to poll poorly and is routinely garnering 'Strongly Disapprove' ratings over 40%. Rasmussen Report is adjusting polling methods. Will it help the president?


Rasmussen Reports is now releasing a supplemental measure of Presidential Approval with two key differences from our traditional measure. The first difference is that the new measure will be based upon a sample of Likely Voters rather than all adults. In normal circumstances, this might result in a slightly higher rating than a sample of adults. Additionally, the new measure will ask respondents to rate the President’s performance on a scale of Excellent, Good, Fair, or Poor. That might typically result in a slightly lower rating than asking if respondents Strongly Approve, Somewhat Approve, Somewhat Disapprove, or Strongly Disapprove.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Bush_Job_Approval.htm

[Bitwit1234]

1. Cooking is right

Did you notice in no place have they had bush under 40%..right there it should tell you something. Which republican owns that site.

[napi21]

2. I don't think it willo matter. Most poll results are decided by

who is polled and sampling size. If those polled are unrealistically slanted to Pub or Dem, you will not get a good result, but only the result you're looking for.

[skipos]

3. They had the most accurate 2006 pre-election polls

but their Bush approval ratings are crap IMO.

[rinsd]

4. Agreed. Their polls have been accurate for 3 elections now.

But their approval poll numbers always seem to be the upper end outlier.

[OzarkDem]

5. Not on a case by case basis

They were out of whack on a number of races, including the Brown - DeWine race.

[skipos]

7. Wha? Ras predicted 54% to 43%, and it was 56% to 44%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/FinalSenateResults.htm

[OzarkDem]

6. Rehearsing for the 2008 primaries

If the GOP and their media toadies are willing to help rig elections, they'll certainly be willing to rig public polling.