In a New Yorker article by Jeffrey Goldberg, Karl Rove blames the 2006 election loss by the GOP on Mark Foley.
http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2007/06/04/070604fa_fact_goldberg?printable=true Rove places the blame for the election results on the recent scandals in Congress—congressmen who placed themselves in the orbit of Jack Abramoff, the lobbyist at the center of the Republican ethics meltdown; and the former congressman Mark Foley’s relationships with congressional pages—rather than the Administration’s management of the Iraq war. “If you look at the exit polling, the No. 1 issue, particularly among swing voters, was corruption and behavior,” he said. “After Foley, people said, ‘It’s just too much.’ After that, spending was the No. 2 issue.”
Foley provides a convenient way to dodge the blame for his own mistakes. And Karl Rove has made many mistakes. The Iraq War was ill conceived and poorly waged and growing ever more unpopular by the day. Selection 2004 was so blatantly riddled with Republican election fraud---which Gonzales' Department of Justice had not investigated---that voters were chomping at the bit to get to the polls again and set things right. In 2006, Rove's main election strategy was to use Terra as a way to influence the electorate. However, the mainstream media lockdown which had enabled Bush to sell America the war with Iraq had been broken when Michael Powell revealed that the administration had no intention of honoring its pledge to relax federal media ownership rules. A change of leadership at NBC, the Judy Miller scandal at the NYT and then Katrina also helped to tear apart the MSM wall which Rove had worked so carefully to craft. When he started again with the Terra warnings in 2006--the Sears Catalogue Bombers, the Liquid Terra-ists--, the free press reported on the silliness of these warnings. As a result, people yawned or said "They are just trying to get us to vote Republican." There was no way for the US to step into the Israeli-Lebanese conflict as planned, with half of the press reporting negatively about Israel, which meant that Syria could not be drawn into a fight with the US, so there would be no pre-election showdown with Iran---
Karl Rove's attempts to model the 2006 Congressional elections on the 2002 Congressional elections were going nowhere. And then the NYT broke the NIE document story in September 2006, which revealed that the war in Iraq actually made the US less safe and more vulnerable to terror. That meant that the October surprise which Rove had been promising had to be put on moth balls. If Al Qaeda agents were to be caught crossing the Mexican border with a dirty bomb after the NIE documents were made public, the Democrats would have pointed their fingers at Bush and said
"It is your fault." In the light of all these political set backs, did Karl Rove's "the math" add up to numbers very different from those he admitted to in public? Despite the carefully planned voter supression by DOJ and E-vote fraud, did he know that the Republicans were likely to lose control of the House and Senate. and did he fear for his reputation? And, if so, did he decide to designate a scapegoat?
It has always puzzled me, why did ABC News break the story of the Mark Foley scandal? Just a few weeks before, Disney/ABC committed a journalistic atrocity,
The Path to 9/11. I believe that Disney agreed to produce this piece of GOP election propoganda in exchange for the FCC recommending that the Republican Senate
not pass the McCain/Stevens a la carte cable bill. Why, after Disney took so much heat for that awful show in order to win the favor of the Bush administration would it allow its news network to earn the antipathy of the Republican Party by reporting on a sex scandal involving a Republican Congressman?
Maybe, because someone in the administration told them to? The Bush administration and Karl Rove have no qualms about throwing anyone, even members of their own party under the bus if it is politically expedient. Mark Foley could have been offered to the press as 1. a temporary distraction to get them off the NIE document story and 2. a scapegoat for Karl Rove's failures should the election be lost as all signs were pointing that it would be.
We will never know. I offer this suggestion, because given the way that things work with the mainstream media, it is more likely that a big story like the Mark Foley story would break at ABC because someone in the White House wanted it to break than because someone at ABC suddenly decided to become fearless and patriotic. Also, there has been no administration payback aimed towards ABC for their "treachery", the way that there has been payback towards CBS for some of their stories (like the one done about Abu Ghraib) and NBC.