New FL poll: Clinton 45% ,Obama 18%, Edwards 14%

[ElizabethDC]

June 01, 2007
POLL: IVR Polls Florida Democratic Primary

A new automated survey (via MyDD) from the company IVR Polls of registered Democrats who regularly vote in general and Democratic primary elections in Florida (conducted 5/31) finds:


Among 487 registered Democrats, Sen. Hillary Clinton (at 45%) leads Sen. Barack Obama (18%) and former Sen. John Edwards (14%) in a Democratic primary.


Among 259 registered Democrats who regularly vote in Democratic primary elections, Clinton (at 51%) leads Edwards (17%) and Obama (11%).

Note: The survey was based on a registration based sample (RBS) that used actual vote history to identify regular primary voters.

link: http://www.pollster.com/blogs/poll_ivr_polls_florida_democra.php

[Zynx]

1. Florida will be decided by national name ID and momentum.

Campaigns can't advertise in the state per DNC rules.

[MethuenProgressive]

2. The Obama at 11% is really surprising

to me at least.

[jefferson_dem]

3. 18?

Either way...

Ouch! But not unexpected...given...it's FLA.

[MethuenProgressive]

11. 11 among regular primary voters, says the OP

Among 259 registered Democrats who regularly vote in Democratic primary elections, Clinton (at 51%) leads Edwards (17%) and Obama (11%).

[rinsd]

4. Are the delgates from FL going to count?

Has that issue been settled?

[bigdarryl]

5. Doesn't matter Florida will go REPUBLICAN again in 08

[ElizabethDC]

6. It may matter in the nomination process

FL votes on Jan. 29th - although it's unclear whether or not the delegates are going to count, since it was against both DNC and RNC rules for FL to move its primary that early, IIRC.

[Colobo]

7. It seems like our delegates won't count.

[ElizabethDC]

8. I think it's still unclear

neither party wants to upset FL by telling them their delegates won't count. I don't think anything has been decided yet.

[madfloridian]

14. The DNC has told them rules are rules.

They are working with the state party to come up with something after January.

Martinez will do what they tell him to do.

[BlueManDude]

9. lemmings heading towards the cliff.

[SaveElmer]

17. And yet another stunning example of "progressive" arrogance...

Support for anyone but the "progressive" anointed ones indicates people are lemmings...no possibility that thoughtful people support Hillary because they like her as a candidate...no, they must not be paying attention...or are being bamboozled as I have seen others claim...

[BlueManDude]

19. nothing to do with ideology. she can't win and will cost us seats in congress.

[lupita]

10. It's a long way to the primaries. nt

[smalll]

12. Madame Inevitable!

Booyah!

[madfloridian]

13. Edwards was leading FL a few days ago. Weird...

everytime he leads a poll...a few days later there is one with Hillary blasting the others out of the water.

Glad I trust polls so much.

:sarcasm:

Here's Hillary's poster, one of them at least. Mark Penn.


http://journals.democraticunderground.com/madfloridian/973

[ElizabethDC]

15. There was only ever one poll that had Edwards first in FL

every other FL poll since since the race began has had Hillary 1st (by a big margin), Obama 2nd, Edwards 3rd. The poll with Edwards first seemed to be an outlier.

[madfloridian]

16. Look, we all know Hillary and Bill will win. It is inevitable.

They have the power, they have the machine, they have the money. They have gotten even conservative media working with and donating to them...like Murdoch's group.

They will win. And they will win in 2012. The friendship with the Bush family was a signal for sure.

Edwards did lead one poll, and I was proud to see it.

But Floridians overall do not like Hillary that much. Our own county chair in an interview blamed Bill's infidelities for causing so many Florida Dems to go Republican in the 90s.

But she will win, because we will not have a choice. Just like we did not have a choice in 04 because our primary was March 9. My choice dropped out Feb. 18. No one cared then, no one said oh the primary should be sooner.

Hillary is our inevitability.

[Bullet1987]

20. Please give me a break...

Nothing is inevitable in campaigns...historically the front runner early on always gets shot down towards the end. This is about pacing yourself.

[ElizabethDC]

21. I live in FL and I know a lot of people who are supporting Hillary

so don't give me that "Floridians overall do not like Hillary that much." The Republicans don't, that's for sure, but that's to be expected.

Additionally, I don't think Hillary is in any way inevitable. She's going to have to work hard to get the nomination and to win the presidency - it's not going to be handed to her on a silver platter.

[madfloridian]

18. The polls will, as they have in the past, decide our election.

I find it amazing that we know our polling companies dabble around in other countries polls with strange outcomes...but we absolutely trust them here in our country.

The polls will decide for us.

Remember Bolivia, and Venezuela, and I think even Serbia? But those were only exit polls, and surely no one would skew polls here. Would they. Nah.


Clooney's new film about Carville's company and a Bolivian election>