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Although I believe that Edwards has a good chance in the Dem primaries of actually winning, I believe that in the GE, he will be DOA.
As an example.....although many are proud of Edwards denouncing "The War on Terror" as a bumper sticker slogan and "sticking" to this point, I believe that with some unforeseen thwarted "Plot", a little media engineering, and some GOP talking points, Edwards will only end up as being characterized as a weak link in more ways than one--and this could be a fatal blow.
I currently see the media actually favoring Edwards in very subtle ways that will become more pronounced as the campaign wears on. So in the end, I believe that Edwards will be the eventual Dem pick of the media.....as this will ensure a "tight" race in the General Election, in where, at the end of the day, John Edwards "left" positions that he has staked out to woo the Netroots will not wear well with the mass voters.....especially when the media is done twisting it all.
Add to that, Edwards' proposal to raise taxes, and the fact that many poor people simply just don't vote, Edwards as the nominee becomes a recipe for disaster. In addition, Edwards will be shackled by his "to and Fro" position on quite a few issues, and he will not be able to argue Iraq as well as some may think due to his co-sponsorship and pushing of the Blank check while sitting on the Intel Committee back in 2002....information that probably will be "saved" by the opposition until the General Election.
I am apprehensive about this....because Edwards has put himself via televised words in a position that will make it easy for the opposition to stir up enough fear in enough voters. This works, and if you don't think so, see "October surprise/Osama Bin Laden Tape/Kerry election 2004" and "Kerry Joke/circa 2006", and also see "Guliani/Paul/distortion on debate 9/11 answer-circa 07".
Many Dems are being lulled into a false sense of "we will win almost no matter what" and many are opting for an Edwards choice due to the fact that he is an attractive White Southern Male with a couple of tragedy in his life and some detailed policies proposed with the poor in mind. However, at the end of the day, I think many will be shocked that what their betting on as a "got to be a sure thing compared to the rest of the Dem field" are going to be in for a rude awakening.
We already well know Obama's biggest flaws; the fact that he is an African American and some say relatively inexperienced.
We already know Clinton's Biggest flaw; the fact that she is woman and that she is somewhat divisive in terms of GOP hate levels......
However, I believe that Edwards has more subtle negatives than the other two (and which won't be able to be diffused as racism or sexism) and will be used against him, as needed.....via selective "time released" material.
So although Edwards may appear to be a "conventional" ideal pick from afar, when examined closely, and considering his "weakness on National Security" (saying sorry at every event will not look good "Looped together"), Edwards will not seem so "attractive" in the general election.
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