Clinton, Obama, immigration and Russian attitudes

[William769]

New polling data from several survey organizations – including pending data from Gallup -- make it clear that Sen. Hillary Clinton is maintaining or strengthening her lead for the presidential nomination over Sen. Barack Obama among Democrats. Our early June USA Today/Gallup poll showed the two tied, as discussed here and here. But that finding apparently did not signify a significant change in the structure of the race. The latest polls from the Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg and Wall Street Journal/NBC show Clinton in her accustomed role as leader when Democrats are asked whom they want to be their party’s nominee. It looks as if the June 1-3 USA Today/Gallup poll either picked up a short term change, or as noted here, was a function of unusual sampling which happened to pick up Democrats who were more pro-Obama than the underlying population.

We have a Gallup poll now in the field, with results to be reported early next week. Preliminary indications are that this poll will find Clinton back in her typical leadership position as she has been for the most part this year.

On the Republican side of the race, the news focuses on the rise of Fred Thompson and the decline in John McCain, who in some recent polls has slid to third place behind Rudy Giuliani and Thompson. We’ll have more on that early next week as well.

http://blogs.usatoday.com/gallup/2007/06/notes_from_the_.html

[wyldwolf]

1. so, like that one Rasmussen poll in May, the previous Gallup was a phantom

.. and outlier, just as Penn said.

[William769]

2. Yep.