Bloomberg Hurts Giuliani more than Clinton

[rinsd]

Generally the Clinton (blue) points are above the Giuliani (red) points. If we take the simple average changes, Clinton loses an average of 3.6 points when Bloomberg is added, while Giuliani loses an average of 5.2 points. When we do a slightly fancier regression estimate, the net loss hurts Giuliani by 1.7 points more than it does Clinton. That difference is visible in the chart as the gap between the red and blue estimated regression lines.

http://www.pollster.com/blogs/bloomberg_hurts_giuliani_more.php

[TwilightGardener]

1. Good news!

[Purveyor]

2. Yes but Giuliani isn't going to be the GOP candidate. Fred Thompson is... eom

[OHdem10]

3. On 3 different programs--

In a 3 way race Thompson, Clinton, Bloomberg.
Bloomberg's politics being closest to Clinton, he
takes votes from her. CNN, MSNBC, Fox

Zogby Survey.

Bloombeg hurts Democrats contrary to conventional wisdom.

[rinsd]

4. self delete

[papau]

5. I agree - this analysis of Survey USA is as suspect as their underlying poll data n/t

n/t

[jcrew2001]

6. I agree that Bloomberg is closer in politics to Hillary and his

defection from the GOP will only exacerbate his split from the right and grow his appeal toward left-leaning/centrist male swing voters.

Hillary's worst GE opponent is Rudy - but Bloomberg is Rudy v.2

Bloomberg is more popular than Rudy in the northeast and he will take votes away from Hillary in the northeast. He will be competitive in NY, NJ, PA, NH, ME, OH, FL, and with Hagel in CO, NV, AZ, and Nebraska.

Hillary can only rely on the West Coast, and the GOP nominee will likely win the South.

So once again, it will come down to who wins the Mid-West!