Current Status of the Primary Polls, State-by-State

[Yukari Yakumo]

Lighter colors indicate recent polling data available.
Darker colors indicate recent polling data is not available and the numbers likely has changed since the last poll.

Democrats--
Current:


Trend Analysis:


Republicans--
Current:


Trend Analysis:


- - - - -

Right now HRC looks to potentially run away with the thing.
For as much money he has poured into Iowa, Edwards has yet to put any distance between himself and the competition. Worse, his lead in NC has been shrinking each month. He had a 14 point lead over HRC in April, which shrank to 6 points in May, and is now a mere 4 points in June.

Meanwhile...

Watching the Repubs is going to be a blast. I'll predict Fred will take the South minus Florida, Mitt will take Utah and a couple other states, McCain night take a couple. But overall the delegate pie may get divided enough so that Ghouliani may not be able to win the nom outright. I think it's a matter of time before they turn negative against one another. I can't wait.

[still_one]

1. It makes me pretty unhappy because I don't think she will win the general election

if she is up against giuliani. I will vote for whoever the Democratic nominee is, but independents will not vote for Hillary over giuliani, but I hope I am wrong

Boy do I wish Gore would run, but that's not going to happen.

[Alamom]

2. Again, great map. Thank you for posting.

[emilyg]

3. Thank you. R

[Yukari Yakumo]

4. Added note for non-HRC fans.

Obama has taken the lead in SC. But if he wants to have any hope, he needs convincing wins there and one or two of the following: Iowa, New Hampshire, Florida, or Nevada. Get that, and he might upset HRC in other races.

The same goes for Edwards. For as much money he's poured into Iowa, that state is still too close to call. I think his campaign is on life support. He needs to start pulling away in Iowa. But if he fails to make real progress in Iowa, or if NC falls, his campaign is toast.

[Bullet1987]

5. I'm not knocking Edwards, he's a genuine guy, smart, and likeable...

but I never thought he was a very good campaigner. As far as Obama, he needs to surge in the Fall.

[snowbear]

6. The fancy little map means DIDDLY SQUAT right now... Bring it out in late autumn.

Right now HRC looks to potentially run away with the thing.

ZZzzZZZZZZZZZZZZzzzzzzzzzzzzz