Bush Approval Map: No Safe Districts for GOP II

[babylonsister]

http://www.openleft.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=142

Bush Approval Map: No Safe Districts for GOP II
by: dreaminonempty
Fri Jul 13, 2007 at 09:10:00 AM EDT

(This is a really useful analysis of the real fluidity in our political system brought by Bush's unpopularity. Basically, he's turning a lot of red areas blue, and potentially putting a whole bunch of seats in play. There is a big role we could potentially have here. - promoted by Matt Stoller)

I started out my last diary two months ago stating that "Bush has been holding steady at record low approval ratings for the past four months." At the same time that I wrote those words, Bush was poised at the edge of a precipice; he took the leap and continues to plunge through the upper 20s in approval.

So let's see that new approval map for the month of June:



As I said last time, as long as Bush remains unpopular, *there are no more safe Republican House seats.* Bush's approval ratings do matter. Below, more details on state-level approval ratings, and adding in the effect of money in House races to the relationship between Bush's approval ratings and votes for Republicans.


The greening of America
New England is so blue, it's green. Here's the numbers: Maine - 20% (April); New Hampshire - 17% (March), 14% (June); Rhode Island - 16% (Jan); Vermont - 20% (estimated). I seem to recall a certain popular Republican senator from Rhode Island failing to win re-election last year when Bush's approval rating in his state was 26%. Can we repeat this trick in the Northeast?

Elsewhere we see a deepening tide of blue spreading across the west and south this June. Montana - 35%. Georgia - 35%. Florida - 31%. And five new polls out in July so far for states, each with a record low approval rating. So Senators, listen up: unless you're from Utah, you have no business voting to prop up the Bush presidency.

more...

[AndyA]

1. Here's a bigger image that's easier to read.

[babylonsister]

3. Thank you! I couldn't figure out how to do that. nt

[rodeodance]

2. dang it. I would have WI would have a highter Disapproval rate (41-45%)!!

[LiberalFighter]

6. I want Wisconsin to be bluer

[NRaleighLiberal]

4. So, he has Poland....Albania....and - Utah! Coalition of the thrilling!

[sinkingfeeling]

5. That's one pretty picture!