SaveElmer
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Wed Jul-18-07 07:27 PM
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GA Poll: Hillary 35, Obama 27, Edwards 16 |
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Hillary gets twice the support Obama does among women, statistically tied with Obama and Edwards among men... http://www.insideradvantage.com/restricted/July%2007/7-16-07/gapoll.php
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napi21
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Wed Jul-18-07 07:34 PM
Response to Original message |
1. I hate to sound like a defeatist, but if the majority of GA votes for |
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ANY DEM, please all DUERS, call the paramedics! I'll need them!!!!
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SaveElmer
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Wed Jul-18-07 07:36 PM
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3. Yeah no dem is winning Georgia...these numbers are only important... |
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In terms of the nomination...
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jcrew2001
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Wed Jul-18-07 09:40 PM
Response to Reply #3 |
19. I don't think the men will stick around if Hillary is the nominee |
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I think Bloomberg will jump into the race - and all the men and independents will vote for him.
Hmmm...maybe hillary wants Bloomy in the race - thats her master plan!
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Alexander
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Wed Jul-18-07 07:34 PM
Response to Original message |
2. I wonder what the numbers are with Gore included? |
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You already showed us he'd win against everybody in Idaho.
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illinoisprogressive
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Wed Jul-18-07 07:36 PM
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4. good news for Obama. He is 8 points off. smiling |
zulchzulu
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Wed Jul-18-07 07:38 PM
Response to Original message |
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Edited on Wed Jul-18-07 07:38 PM by zulchzulu
Democratic presidential primary:
Clinton: 35% Obama: 27% Edwards: 16% Biden: 3% Richardson: 3% Kucinich: 1% Others: 1% Undecided: 15%
MoE: 5% with 400 polled (large margin of error with small sample)
Add that 15% are undecided...this thing is wide open.
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SaveElmer
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Wed Jul-18-07 07:43 PM
Response to Reply #5 |
6. Well if Obama can snag 70% of those undecideds.... |
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Then he will about tie Hillary...
good luck with that...
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Ethelk2044
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Wed Jul-18-07 08:24 PM
Response to Reply #6 |
11. Obama will win GA in the Primary |
zulchzulu
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Wed Jul-18-07 10:11 PM
Response to Reply #6 |
21. MoE of 5%...know what that means? |
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If a candidate has 37% and another has 25%, the MoE of 5% means it could be 32% to 30%. Nice poll... :crazy:
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jefferson_dem
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Wed Jul-18-07 07:59 PM
Response to Original message |
7. I'll take those digits anyday. |
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Eight points?! Frankly, i'm surprised it's that close.
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SaveElmer
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Wed Jul-18-07 08:09 PM
Response to Reply #7 |
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Why would you think Hillary would have a natural base of support in Georgia...I would think the dynamics would be closer to South Carolina...
I guess I can see how you would view any result in single digits as good news given Obama is usually behind in most polls by well into double digits...
Last Georgia poll on 6/23 only had Hillary 3 points up...
Different polling firm, but Hillary hasn't been this much up in any Georgia poll since August of last year.
Will have to see if other polls confirm, but looks like Hillary may be trending up...
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jefferson_dem
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Wed Jul-18-07 09:57 PM
Response to Reply #8 |
20. Hillary has a natural built-in base of support everywhere. Georgia is no different. |
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Edited on Wed Jul-18-07 10:01 PM by jefferson_dem
The two times Obama's been here, the turnout and excitement was unbelievable, especially among young voters in the ATL area. He is building a solid organizational structure in the state. Watch for a badass GOTV effort for Obama on 2-5-8.
Eight down to the Hillary machine going into the early Fall is *almost* perfect...
EDIT: On another note, remember that we have an open primary down here. I think we can all agree that the ANTI-Hillary candidate will fare better in those, especially if it's Obama who has demonstrated he could appeal to independents and disaffected Repubs.
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MannyGoldstein
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Wed Jul-18-07 08:14 PM
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9. Polls At This Point Predict Nothing. Nada. Bupkes. |
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They have no correlation with outcome.
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SaveElmer
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Wed Jul-18-07 08:17 PM
Response to Reply #9 |
10. When did I ever say they did?...nt |
MannyGoldstein
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Wed Jul-18-07 09:26 PM
Response to Reply #10 |
13. When Did *I* Ever Say You Did? |
SaveElmer
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Wed Jul-18-07 09:27 PM
Response to Reply #13 |
14. You responded to my post as if I did... |
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If you acknowledge I didn't, and in fact I never have...I will accept your recantation...
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MannyGoldstein
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Wed Jul-18-07 09:31 PM
Response to Reply #14 |
15. You Wrote The OP As If *You* Did |
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Heck, why else would you write it?
(I think we're even.)
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SaveElmer
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Wed Jul-18-07 09:34 PM
Response to Reply #15 |
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If I posted the score at the halftime of a football game, would you assume I thought the outcome was final based on that?
In fact I have specifically said on numerous occasions that polls are not predictive of final outcome, but are akin to the current score of an ongoing game...
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MannyGoldstein
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Wed Jul-18-07 09:37 PM
Response to Reply #17 |
18. Not Quite The Right Analogy, I Think |
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Reporting the half-time score is more like reporting a primary result.
Reporting early polling data is like sharing scouting reports.
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emilyg
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Wed Jul-18-07 08:40 PM
Response to Reply #9 |
ronnykmarshall
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Wed Jul-18-07 09:33 PM
Response to Reply #12 |
16. and they seem to bring out the regulars ... |
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any time a positive Hillary thread is posted .... HERE THEY COME!!!
It's like setting your clock.
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emilyg
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Wed Jul-18-07 11:35 PM
Response to Reply #16 |
23. I'm one of those regulars and proud of it. |
draft_mario_cuomo
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Wed Jul-18-07 11:49 PM
Response to Reply #23 |
24. I believe ronnyk was referring to the Obamabots nt |
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Edited on Wed Jul-18-07 11:50 PM by draft_mario_cuomo
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draft_mario_cuomo
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Wed Jul-18-07 10:21 PM
Response to Original message |
22. All things considered, a solid showing for Edwards at this stage nt |
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