POLL: Obama wallops Fred Thompson by eleven points (51/40), Hillary up by only three (48/45)

[jefferson_dem]

July 24, 2007
Most Top Seed Pairings in 2008 Presidential Election Are Too Close to Call
Obama versus Thompson produces only clear-cut lead, with Obama ahead

by Lydia Saad

GALLUP NEWS SERVICE

PRINCETON, NJ -- A recent Gallup Poll assessed the 2008 general election with various pairings of the top two candidates for each party. If, as the question reads "the election were being held today," a race that includes the top-ranked Republican, Rudy Giuliani, would be highly competitive, regardless of whether his opponent is the top-ranked Democrat Hillary Clinton or second-place Democrat Barack Obama. Fred Thompson, newly emergent as Republicans' second choice for the nomination, also makes for a close contest with Clinton, but trails by a significant margin when matched against Obama.

The survey was conducted July 12-15, 2007. In both trial heats with Giuliani named as the Republican nominee, Giuliani receives 49% of the vote of registered voters nationwide. Running against Giuliani, Clinton receives 46% of the vote while Obama receives 45%. While Giuliani enjoys a slight lead in both cases, it is within the margin of sampling error for the survey, and thus not statistically significant.

<SNIP>

With Fred Thompson headlining the Republican ticket, it appears Clinton would have a slight, but not significant lead, 48% vs. 45%, while Obama would lead by a comfortable 51% vs. 40% margin.



http://www.galluppoll.com/content/?ci=28198

[Colobo]

1. Nice! President Obama!

[JANdad]

4. As long has he not up against Rudy...

[Perky]

2. Whi I agree that is great news.....We have to convince the base

first. Unfortunate but true.

[Colobo]

5. Obama can do it- But he needs to fight hard, and he needs OUR SUPPORT AND HELP!

Keep donating, spread the word among your friends and relatives- let's take the right man to the WH in 08!

[TeamJordan23]

3. We need to nominate the person with most upside. As the Guilani poll shows, Dems are not guaranteed

anything. We cannot take 2008 for granted because the GE is gonna be much closer than some people think. I think Obama has the best new ideas and has the most upside.

[illinoisprogressive]

6. Obama is the better general election candidate. He is not divisive.

[Imagevision]

7. I acn't imagine Obama having any probs eliminating Thompson or Giuliani

[TeamJordan23]

8. Statistically, Hillary is not even beating Thompson. It is a tie. nm

[Forkboy]

9. Well is he fading or not?

I'm so confused around here. :freak:

[calteacherguy]

10. But of course, Hillary's high unfavorablity ratings aren't important...

:sarcasm:

[Jim Sagle]

11. You're just a Hillary HATER!

:-)

Psst - in the unlikely event anyone cares what I think, I don't hate her.

In fact I like her, somewhat. She's just not all that. And not all that much of a Democrat, either.

[ripple]

12. I love the word wallop, especially when it applies to Obama's campaign.

Great news, thank you!

[Alexander]

13. This doesn't matter, because Thompson won't run...

And Gore trounces all Republican candidates by wide margins in every poll.

[TeamJordan23]

14. Why do you say Thomspon won't run? nm

[BeyondGeography]

15. Speaking of guys who won't run...

[jefferson_dem]

17. Thompson won't run?

Are you serious? The only questions are when he gets in and whether he wins the nomination.

[flpoljunkie]

16. Thanks, jefferson_dem, for point out that electability matters. We nominate HRC at our peril.