Franken gaining on Coleman (scumbag chimpy lapdog - MN), now down by only seven points (49-42)

[jefferson_dem]

How Does Republican US Senator Norm Coleman Look For Re-Election? You Can Argue It Both Ways: In an election for United States Senator from Minnesota today, 7/30/07, 463 days to the vote, incumbent Republican Norm Coleman defeats any one of three possible Democratic challengers in head-to-head matchups, according to SurveyUSA election polls conducted exclusively for KSTP-TV Minneapolis, WDIO-TV Duluth and KAAL-TV Rochester.

Coleman defeats celebrity Al Franken today by 7 points. Coleman defeats attorney Mike Ciresi today by 6 points, and Coleman defeats activist Jim Cohen today by 12 points. But, there are "buts": But #1: Coleman's support does not top 49% in any matchup. Some see an incumbent at less than 50% as significant. But #2: In an identical SurveyUSA tracking poll 5 months ago, Coleman defeated Franken by 22 points. Today, Coleman defeats Franken by 7. Compared to February, Coleman is down 8, Franken is up 7.



...

Among women, against Franken, Coleman led by 9 in February, trails by 8 in July, a 17-point swing to the Democrat. Among women, against Ciresi, Coleman led by 6 in February, trails by 12 in July, an 18-point swing to the Democrat. Among Independents, against Franken, Coleman led by 25, now leads by 6. Among Independents, against Ciresi, Coleman led by 25, now leads by 5.

...

Filtering: 700 Minnesota adults were interviewed 7/26/07 through 7/29/07. Of them 628 were registered to vote in Minnesota and were included in this survey. This is not a survey of "Likely Voters," this is a survey of "Registered Voters." SurveyUSA will switch to Likely Voters once the Democratic challenger has been identified. Context: In 2006, the Democrats took from Republicans control of the United States Senate, but only by a 1-vote majority. Whether Republicans re-capture control of the U.S. Senate in 2008, or Democrats maintain control, will hinge on how Norm Coleman, and several other incumbent Republicans, do in re-election contests. This contest has national repercussions.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=6268424d-fbb9-4bb8-8667-d383a80359ce

[David__77]

1. A word about SurveyUSA

I believe that the principals at this firm are on the political right. They tend to be accurate near election time, but prior to that, in close races, they tend to skew much more Republican that other concurrent polls. Take their early polling with skepticism.

[mzmolly]

2. Considering none of the Dems have spent much money actually running against Normy

yet, this is good news.