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Women will help Hillary edge out Rudy

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wyldwolf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-02-07 08:24 AM
Original message
Women will help Hillary edge out Rudy
The argument that Clinton could win the Democratic nomination but remain a long shot for winning the White House has rested heavily on two pillars: that Clinton is too polarizing and that Americans are not ready to elect a woman as president.

Both those pillars may be crumbling. While Clinton has long enjoyed an advantage among Democratic women, the latest surveys suggest she is drawing support from other women -- including those who in the past have tilted Republican and earlier in this election cycle were showing no particular enthusiasm for Clinton.

In a hypothetical race between Clinton and Giuliani posed in mid-May, for instance, the two split women evenly, with 45 percent, Zogby found, while Giuliani won the men's vote by 51 percent to 41 percent. By mid-July, Clinton had improved to 54 percent with women against Giuliani's 35 percent, even as the men's vote hardly shifted. This accounted for Clinton winning the overall vote in this matchup by 47 percent to 41 percent. A July Gallup vote echoed the trend.

The movement is even more eye-opening when narrowed specifically to moderate women -- a key voting bloc in recent elections and one Clinton's team is giving special attention.

Moderate women favored Clinton 49 percent to 41 percent in the May poll. Clinton now wins moderate women 62 percent to 28 percent over Giuliani in the Zogby poll. The margin of error, when isolating data to look at such small groups, is as high as 8 percent. But the gains are nonetheless statistically significant.

<---snip---->

NOTE: Parts of the above quoted article have been left out of my post. To most people, this means I quoted what I felt was the important elements of the piece. To a few others, this means I'm hiding some information I don't want others to read. To assist in my deception, I've included the link below...


http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0807/5215.html
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liberalmuse Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-02-07 08:51 AM
Response to Original message
1. I've seen this first hand..
I've met more than a few Repub, fundie women who plan on voting for Hillary.
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IndianaJones Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-02-07 09:05 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. c'mon...this is the opposite of the I haven't met one person line, right? nt.
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wyldwolf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-02-07 09:28 AM
Response to Reply #1
3. I know women who've never been political before who are excited about Clinton
...haven't met any hardcore GOPers for her yet, though, although there are many closet women Democrats in the ranks of the GOP.
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beastieboy Donating Member (288 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-02-07 09:30 AM
Response to Reply #3
4. I have heard that young single women tend not to vote.
I am optomistic that if that voting block gets excited about Hillary, it would be a huge boost for her in the general election.
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wyldwolf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-02-07 09:50 AM
Response to Reply #4
6. The Clinton campaign have been targeting them - specifically in California
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Totally Committed Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-02-07 09:35 AM
Response to Original message
5. I wouldn't count on it. This is just anecdotal, so I have no link, and therefore is only my opinion,
but I don't know ONE WOMAN who is set to vote for Mrs. Clinton. Not one. And these are well-educated, accomplished, feminist Boomers... a group of her "peers". Not one will vote for her.

Plus, the article linked is on politico.com. Didn't we decide they were unreliable? Anyway....

TC
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wyldwolf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-02-07 09:52 AM
Response to Reply #5
7. The article in Politico quotes polling souces...
... if NewsMax ran an article on the world being round, I'd have no choice but to believe it.

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jackbourassa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-02-07 10:01 AM
Response to Original message
8. Women will help Hillary beat Rudy...
So says Syble the Soothsayer.

I love how most analysis regarding Hillary is based on hunches and feelings.

The newest Rasmussen poll has Hillary down to Rudy and Obama up by 6. But whatever.
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