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But he's not about to exclude anything that's currently in the arsenal. The thing is to get them out of the arsenal, which is not something that will be accomplished in this primary race or on anything less than a global scale. Until that happens and such a policy is legitimized by Congress through treaties with other nuclear nations, though, I doubt we will ever hear Clark or the Democratic candidates, including Obama, taking nuclear weapons "off the table."
The largest elephant in this room is the increased threat by availability of nuclear weapons to groups who are not states, who couldn't care less about treaties or global pressure, and who are our avowed enemies; or the capability in the hands of nut job states like North Korea. The public is not about to understand or accept the idea of nuclear weapons "off the table" when they are on so many other tables. It's not logical to think so.
Any candidate who says nuclear weapons/nuclear strike is off the table will not be elected president in 2008. As a matter of the politics of it, Obama unleashed a can of worms through a clumsy statement, which he is going to have to roll back into a coherent message. I think that Obama and his advisors would understand this has to happen. The impracticality of using nuclear strike against Al Qaeda they already understand, but the efficacy of nukes in campaign rhetoric, they flubbed, because it is just too fraught with complications. We are a country who does not discuss the subject one way or another. Period. Correct answer for the times and policy, if not for all our good wishes for the future of the globe.
I'm thinking over sandnsea's point about a change from the Cold War rhetoric of deterrence. The first strike standard has been to not talk about it. This has functioned because of its psychological value in deterrence. Will we or won't we? Only we know for sure, so don't fuck with us. I have to think more about it, but my first reaction is that this is something a president in office could initiate, as a positive direction for the national consciousness, such as Kennedy's opening up the space frontier, which could capture the public's imagination and turn the tide eventually into a fresh national perspective. I'm not so sure a candidate can do it with nukes at this time and still win and I think the loose nukes threat, unless that threat is brought under control globally, which is not going to happen any day soon, works against you. I just don't know for sure how I feel. I have to give it more thought.
So on that prong of the FP controversy, I side with Clinton, provisionally. I don't think Obama answered fully, so I don't agree his foreign policy ideas are naive or that he would not be capable as president in that area. I just think he flubbed it, but can bring it back.
On the second prong, discussions with politically or historically unfriendly nations, Hillary got it right and Obama got it wrong. The debate question had to do with a promise to meet in the first year of office with unfriendly leaders "without preconditions" - not whether or not meeting with such leaders would be a good or bad thing. Clark, for the record, going back to the 2004 primaries and forward, advocates meeting with Venezuela, North Korea, Cuba, Iran, etc. He would not do so "without preconditions" meaning diplomatic negotiating, and that's how I see it, too. Now I don't think Obama would do it any differently in practice, but he gave the wrong answer as a matter of policy and politics.
On the third, strikes against Al Qaeda inside Pakistan in a situation of actionable intelligence and in the case where the Pakistanis can't or won't do it themselves, Obama is absolutely correct in saying he would do it. So is Clinton. So is Edwards. No matter how supporters try to swing this one, there is no substantive difference in the positions. To my knowledge, Clark has not addressed this specifically in the current instance, but he has in the past agreed with Obama's stance and I expect he would now.
One last point I want to make. Clark says what he believes, that's how he is. In this political climate it's interpreted as support for one candidate or another, perhaps unavoidably, but it's not the best conclusion to draw. He's going to say what he would say anyway. In the event he endorses a candidate he might hold back on his positions and present the candidate's positions, but unless that happens, I wouldn't read into this that he supports a candidate over another candidate because he agrees on one issue or another.
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