POLL: Trend Reversal: Hillay below 40%, Obama closing in (within 11 points)

[jefferson_dem]

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
Trend Reversal: Clinton Below 40% in Presidential Tracking Poll
Wednesday, August 08, 2007

In the race for the Democratic Presidential nomination, New York Senator Hillary Clinton has fallen below the 40% mark for the first time in more than two weeks. The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows Clinton at 38% and Illinois Senator Barack Obama at 27%. Clinton’s lead over Obama has declined for four straight days, ever since she made controversial comments defending lobbyists at the Yearly Kos bloggers’ convention over the weekend (see daily history). Just 24% of voters believe that Clinton would not be influenced by lobbyists.

However, while Clinton’s lead has gotten smaller in recent days, the decline follows several months of growing strength for Clinton. In fact, the most recent Rasmussen Reports weekly analysis of the Democratic race was titled “Clinton Rising, Obama Falling.” The reversal over the last few days merely puts the race back to where it was for most of June and July—Clinton in the mid-to-upper 30s and Obama in the mid-20s. Former North Carolina Senator John Edwards remains in third place with support from 13% of Likely Democratic Primary Voters. New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson tops the second tier of candidates at 4%.

As is always the case with daily tracking polls, it will take several more days to determine whether the most recent trend reflects an actual change in the race or is merely statistical noise.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/daily_presidential_tracking_poll__1

HISTORICAL TREND HERE --> http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_2008__1/daily_presidential_tracking_polling_history

PS: I know...i know...i'm violating our blood pact to not report on the tracking poll at mid-week. Let the wailing and gnashing of teeth begin. :hide:

[hijinx87]

1. this is a daily tracking poll.

you have to understand the instrument for what it is.

As is always the case with daily tracking polls, it will take several more days to determine whether the most recent trend reflects an actual change in the race or is merely statistical noise.

[zanne]

2. In NH, OBama and Hillary are both at 31%

According to the American Research Group.:applause:

[rinsd]

3. C'mon now its wasn't signed in blood.

;-)

But I think I will wait one more day before declaring it a trend.

[jefferson_dem]

4. Um...was i the only one who did the "blood thingy"?

ugh...

Sorry...i couldn't resist sharing this little glimmer of gold news for the O-side.

[rinsd]

5. Life just got alot more interesting...apparently SC moved it primary to the same date as NH

http://upload.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x3436351

[Karmadillo]

6. Polls are fun. It's not like we're going to have real results anytime soon.

Post away.

[SaveElmer]

7. We know you are lookin for good news...

So we will forgive you this time!!

:-)

[jefferson_dem]

8. You know how it goes, SaveElmer.

I hope the meeting went well yesterday. ...Turning VA blue! :bounce: