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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
Ethelk2044 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-11-07 09:50 AM
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Video on Polling
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jenmito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-11-07 11:12 AM
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1. Very interesting! Thanks...K&R
Will contact Gallup. :hi:
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wyldwolf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-11-07 11:51 AM
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2. He's misinformed, of course
Taking a look at his blog, where he wrote the information contained in the video

OK. Get this. Just get this. Two weeks ago, Senator Barack Obama was tied -- that's right, tied -- with Senator Hillary Clinton for the 2008 Democratic Presidential race in the then latest USA Today / Gallup Poll. Now, USA Today / Gallup didn't do a poll in May, and certainly not two weeks apart, but this new one says that Senator Clinton has a large lead.

What?


Yes, USA Today / Gallup Poll DID do a poll in May, they did TWO in May, and they WERE two weeks apart. USA Today / Gallup has been doing two polls a month on the Democratic presidential race since March. Everything in his first paragraph is a lie.

Source: http://www.pollingreport.com/wh08dem.htm

The critical eye would have a question. I've got several. But the bottom line is the second round of polling was rigged. Why? Because someone didn't like the outcome and doesn't want Senator Barack Obama to win, so they immediately ordered another poll and worked to obtain results they wanted to see.

The above simply falls apart in light of my first revelation - that USA Today / Gallup HAS been doing two polls a month since March. USA Today / Gallup certainly MAY have raised on eyebrow at the at the results of the June 1 poll because no other poll was showing such a bounce for Obama. Polling organizations ALWAYS analyze their findings. But they didn't "order another poll and work to obtain the results they wanted to see." They simply began preparations and then carried out the second poll for the month, the same as they'd done for the last three months.

Interestingly, "Zennie" offers no explanation for Obama's sudden 9 point jump in the June 1 poll. He doesn't even mention it (because he wanted us to believe there was no poll in May when there was, in fact, TWO), but to accuse USA Today and Gallup of "rigging" a poll against Obama without a shred of evidence and based entirely on the fact he got excited about an outlier poll only to see his hopes dashed when the next poll came out.

As Frank Newport said, and "Zennie' quoted him, NO OTHER POLLS that week showed the results the June 1 USA Today / Gallup poll did. Not the Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg and Wall Street Journal/NBC polls, not Rasmussen.

Sorry, folks. If you believe this guy, you're desperate and you've been duped.

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illinoisprogressive Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-11-07 09:30 PM
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3. I knew it. CNNs polls are done by one of Hillary's biggest backers.
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