Qunnipiac: Hillary beats all Republicans nationally

[SaveElmer]

Leads Dem primary by 15 points over Obama...

Her and Edwards have leads over all three candidates, with Hillary doing best against Guiliani. Obama ties Guiliani...

New York Sen. Hillary Clinton has eked out a 46 - 43 percent lead over her chief Republican rival in the 2008 presidential race, former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani, and has improved her favorability among American voters, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released today.

This compares to a 45 - 44 percent Clinton lead in a June 13 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, and a 49 - 40 percent Giuliani lead May 3. In other head-to-head matchups in the current survey:

In general election matchups

* Clinton leads Arizona Sen. John McCain 47 - 41 percent;
* Clinton tops former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson 49 - 38 percent;
* Illinois Sen. Barack Obama ties Giuliani 42 - 42 percent;
* Obama beats McCain 43 - 39 percent, and tops Thompson 46 - 35 percent;
* Former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards gets 43 percent to Giuliani's 42 percent;
* Edwards tops McCain 45 - 37 percent and Thompson 49 - 32 percent.

Interesting commentary on Hillary's neagtives, which are still the highest on the field...but dropping...

"The movement is glacial, but for Sen. Hillary Clinton it's in the right direction. She holds her double-digit lead among Democrats and edges up a smidgen against Mayor Rudolph Giuliani," said Maurice Carroll, Director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"But the 'Hillary hostility' factor is constant and feeds doubts about whether she can win in November 2008. That polling perennial - her unfavorability factor - remains high."

By a 48 - 43 percent margin, American voters have a favorable opinion of Clinton, her best score yet. But that 43 percent unfavorable is the highest of any of the top presidential contenders.

But here is the interesting stat, and where I believe Hillary will drop her negatives into the low to mid thirties...

In a special look at Sen. Clinton, 38 percent of American voters like her and like where she stands on the issues; 14 percent like her, but don't like her positions; 9 percent don't like her, but like where she stands on issues, and 33 percent don't like her or her positions.

First, it is obvious that a negative view of her won't keep people from voting for her, as her negative rating is lower than the percentage of people voting for her against McCain, Thompson, and Guiliani...a good discussion of that at Donkey Digest Here

Where I believe she is/will be making headway, is among that segment that agrees with her but currently does not have a favorable opinion of her...about 9% of the population.

I think, assuming she is the nominee, and given a continuance of the great campaign she has run so far, that by election day 2008 her negative rating will be in the 35%-38% range...with an even lower ranking among independents...

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1295.xml?ReleaseID=1091

edit: Remove somewhat misleading subject line...

[ccpup]

1. very interesting Post

thank you for sharing. It says something about the Democratic field and the "republican fatigue" the Nation is feeling when our "Top Tier" candidates are polling ahead of the repugs across the board. Cool.

[durrrty libby]

2. Her negs are going down every week. I even see it here, where

the haters foam

She just needs to continue being herself, making great ads and appearances. Of course, getting a rise out of bush doesn't hurt.

[beastieboy]

3. You are absolutely right on.

[wyldwolf]

4. Here's a way to tell on DU when Hillary has had a good week...

...the anti-DLC posts and rightwing talking points increase.

[durrrty libby]

5. That's true, but I have seen many say they weren't big fans but thought

the new ad was very good or were impressed with her.

As for the usual foam at the mouth haters, I just point, laugh, and dismiss.

[ronnykmarshall]

8. Yup.

I'm sure the latest Rush Limpballs talking points will be passed around soon.

[corkhead]

10. and decouple from her corporatist backers

[William769]

6. It should also be be noted that she beats all Democrats Nationally.

:woohoo:

[jsamuel]

7. Edwards does better among Republicans and Independents against Giuliani

Clinton does better among Democrats against Giuliani.

Edwards still has larger leads over McCain and Thompson than anyone else.

[Alamom]

9. Happy to be #5 rec. nm

[OwnedByFerrets]

11. It is absolutely amazing

that these polls dont reflect any, and I mean ANY of the opinions that I get when asked about Hill. To a person, 100% say they will NOT vote for her.....in fact, most say that they hate her politics.
Those feelings by even democrats scare me.

[SaveElmer]

13. Why should it scare you?

There are two possibilities..

1. Despite numerous polls showing Hillary to be ahead in the race for the nomination, and that show her to be quite popular among Democrats, your personal experience turns out to be representative of the truth and she loses the nomination...

or

2. Infinitely more likely is that your anecdotal evidence is not representative of how Democrats feel overall, and the scientific polls that have been taken are accurate, in which case your experience is not indicative of her popularity...

I would wager big money the second scenario is by far the most likely...

In either case however, you have nothing to worry about...

[AnotherGreenWorld]

12. Unfortunately we don't elect presidents via popular vote.

[rinsd]

14. No, but Hillary beats Rudy in NY, FL & PA and is tied with him in OH.

She also beats Fred in FL, PA & OH.