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rinsd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 01:52 PM
Original message
Hillary the Heavyweight
By Irene Tsikitas, NationalJournal.com
Updated: 4:44 a.m. PT Aug 15, 2007

WASHINGTON - In a little more than a year, Democrats will gather in Denver to nominate their presidential candidate for the 2008 White House race. Conventional wisdom has been that the nominating contest is wide open, it's still "too soon to tell" who the party will rally behind next year, and Democrats are notoriously fickle anyway. But national polls paint a different picture: Hillary Rodham Clinton is increasingly looking like the undisputed front-runner.

The New York senator has a 20-point lead over second-place Barack Obama among registered Democrats responding to the latest CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll. Her edge over Obama rose an impressive 8 points after the Illinois senator appeared to be gaining on her earlier this summer.

But Clinton's steady lead in primary matchup polling has been well established. What's perhaps more telling is another CNN/ORC release from the same poll showing Clinton head and shoulders above Obama and third-place contender John Edwards on a number of key indicators. The results suggest Clinton's strategy of keeping one eye on the primary and another on the general may be appealing to primary voters hungry for a Democratic win after eight years of GOP rule.

A strong 55-percent majority of registered Democrats named Clinton the most likely to beat the Republican nominee in next year's election, and a whopping 72 percent said that, if nominated, she could beat the GOP nominee next year. Perhaps less surprising were the nearly six in 10 respondents who said Clinton had the "right experience to be president." On that measure, one-term former Sen. Edwards and first-term Sen. Obama were named by only 11 percent and 9 percent of Democratic respondents, respectively."

More at the link - http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/20275799/
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Alamom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 01:54 PM
Response to Original message
1. Thanks for posting. eom
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obnoxiousdrunk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 01:55 PM
Response to Original message
2. But all
the pundits on DU say she can't win. How so ?
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saracat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 02:00 PM
Response to Original message
3. MSM promoting their favorite agin.What a surprise!
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beastieboy Donating Member (288 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 02:25 PM
Response to Reply #3
7. They shouldn't publish anything unless it's bad for Hillary?
I don't understand why the media is being blamed for her popularity.
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saracat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 02:52 PM
Response to Reply #7
16. For the same reasons the media is being blamed for the Iraq War and Bush's election!
Edited on Wed Aug-15-07 02:53 PM by saracat
It is NOT an accident that Hillary is endorsed by Rupert Murdoch and Fox News! Haven't you heard Hannity and his continuous "praise" of Hillary? This is an orchestrated effort by the corporate controlled media to get Hillary the nomination. She is their favorite Democrat.
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AnotherGreenWorld Donating Member (958 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 03:08 PM
Response to Reply #16
21. They build her up just to put her down--in the GE.
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saracat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 05:28 PM
Response to Reply #21
31. I wouldn't be so sure!
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ronnykmarshall Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 02:33 PM
Response to Reply #3
10. and the Hillary bashers using the same "MSM" line ..
what a surprise.
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Captain Hilts Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 02:02 PM
Response to Original message
4. Polls about speculative impressions. Ignore. nt
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Colobo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 02:03 PM
Response to Original message
5. She is doing quite well. It will take a very strong effort by Obama or Edwards to beat her.
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RaleighNCDUer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 02:12 PM
Response to Original message
6. Clinton had the "right experience to be president."
What experience is that?

She's a 1 term senator, just like them. Just because we've been aware of her for longer, it doesn't mean she has more experience!
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beastieboy Donating Member (288 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 02:26 PM
Response to Reply #6
8. Actually this is her second term, but whatever...
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Virginia Dare Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 02:31 PM
Response to Reply #6
9. I'm guessing she's including her eight years as First Lady..
Edited on Wed Aug-15-07 02:32 PM by Virginia Dare
and de facto adviser and confidante to her husband?..:shrug: It's unconventional, but I suppose it would count.
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Colobo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 02:34 PM
Response to Reply #9
11. Laura Bush should run then.
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ElizabethDC Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 02:45 PM
Response to Reply #11
14. I think Laura Bush's role as first lady differs somewhat from Sen. Clinton's n/t
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Virginia Dare Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 02:57 PM
Response to Reply #14
19. I'd be hard pressed to find many similarities at all..
between the Clinton and Bush Presidencies. The both lived in the White House, sort of?...:shrug:
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Virginia Dare Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 02:55 PM
Response to Reply #11
18. I'd actually love to see that..
:D
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William769 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 02:37 PM
Response to Original message
12. Well when you put up lightweights against a heavyweight, what do you expect?
BTW K&R!
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Colobo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 03:21 PM
Response to Reply #12
23. Who is a lightweight?
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William769 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 03:32 PM
Response to Reply #23
25. All of them but Edwards. NT
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Colobo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 04:40 PM
Response to Reply #25
29. Wow... I guess Edwards has to be very frustrated to see the lightweight Obama
outfunding and outpolling him every single time. What a skilled lightweight! :)
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William769 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 05:12 PM
Response to Reply #29
30. Thats about to change my friend.
:)
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emilyg Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 02:44 PM
Response to Original message
13. Thank you.
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Capn Sunshine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 02:50 PM
Response to Original message
15. Funny That. Dean was 20 points up before Iowa as well w fundraising supremacy
We saw how those polls translated into primary wins.
Can we expect the same MSM torpedo of HRH?
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rinsd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 02:55 PM
Response to Reply #15
17. Except Dean wasn't up 20 points before IA.
In the CBS poll taken 1/12 to 1/15, Dean was at 24% with Clark @ 12% and 15% undecided.

In a FoxNews/Opinion Dynamics Poll taken 1/7 to 1/9, he was at 20%, Clark at 11% and not sure was at 27%.

CNN/USA Today/Gallup on 1/9 to 1/11 had Dean with a 6 point lead over Clark.

Time/CNN taken 1/14 to 1/15 had Dean with a 5 pt lead over Clark.

Newsweek on 1/8-1/9 has him with a 12 pt lead on Clark.

The numbers over and over again point to at best a 12 pt lead (averaging probably around an 8 pt lead) over Wes Clark in the national polls prior to IA.

The difference between Dean and Hillary is that Hillary has gone over 40% and had 20+ pt lead in a wide vareity of polls for more than a single instance. Even at his very peak of popularity Dean was not able to do that.

http://www.pollingreport.com/wh04dem.htm
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Balbus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 03:02 PM
Response to Reply #17
20. Butt out!
No one asked for any of your goddamn facts! We got a hate-thing we're trying to get rolling and you're throwing speed-bumps in the way.
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Cameron27 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 03:32 PM
Response to Reply #17
24. Ah I love you lol.
I'm so glad you keep all those pesky polling facts handy because I never do. I hate them, but I sure like it when someone breaks them down and explains what the hell they all mean.
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William769 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 03:13 PM
Response to Reply #15
22. And Dean is no Hillary.
your statistics mean nothing when you are comparing apples to oranges.
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losthills Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 04:22 PM
Response to Original message
26. Hilary the anchor
is more like it.

Nominating Broomhilda is the same as handing the presidency to the'Pugs....
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billyoc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 04:28 PM
Response to Original message
27. I wouldn't underestimate Hillary.
But she couldn't even manage 2nd place in the California straw poll.

Yes, THAT California...
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ChiciB1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 04:37 PM
Response to Original message
28. Oh My, More Hillary? Think I'll Pass, I'm Stuffed & Couldn't Eat Another Bite! n/t
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