Nevada: Clinton 33% (+1), Obama 19% (-1), Edwards 15% (+4), Richardson 11% (+9)

[draft_mario_cuomo]

Finally a Nevada poll. The trajectory is troubling for Obama. It is entirely possible that he will finish 4th in the first two states. Clinton is solidly ahead, as is to be expected. Richardson's heavy campaigning in Nevada is paying off and he looks like a threat to reach 2nd before Iowa. Of course, the Iowa result will change things in Nevada. Edwards will need a win in Iowa to give him a good chance of winning Nevada.

On the Republican side it is interesting that Romney has gained 24 points since March while Ghouliani has tumbled 20 points.

==Here are the topline results:
..................... August March
Hillary Clinton ....33% 32 %
Barack Obama ....19% 20%
John Edwards ....15% 11%
Bill Richardson ...11% 2%
Al Gore ............8% 11%
Joe Biden .........2% 1%
Mike Gravel .......1% 1%
Dennis Kucinich ...1% 1%
Chris Dodd.........1% 1%
Undecided ........9% 18%

Mitt Romney ......28% 4%
Fred Thompson ...18% n/a
Rudy Giuliani .....18% 38%
John McCain ......8% 18%
Newt Gingrich ....4% 13%
Mike Huckabee ...2% 1%
Undecided ........18% 20%

(Mike Huckabee, Sam Brownback, Tom Tancredo, Duncan Hunter and Ron Paul all have 1 percent)==

http://www.rgj.com/blogs/inside-nevada-politics/2007/08/finally-some-nevada-poll-results.html

[Adelante]

1. Nice for Richardson

I thought Edwards would have been dropping, seeing he is pulling out of there, but he's gained more than anyone but Richardson.

[trayted]

3. The spin over the reshuffling hasn't even factored into the equation yet

Most people don't even know that he has made such a move.

Here's to hoping that Richardson stalls. I don't feel like getting decimated in 2008 over "illegal immigration," of all things. The GOP would run, with the media's help, an all out conspiracy-based attack on Richardson over illegal immigration, making up stuff like claiming that he has "secret deals" with the Mexican government, and so on. It would be the worst form of gutter politics ever witnessed, and it would work, as proven by the many, many, Democratic voters who call in to C-Span saying they might vote for the Republican in 2008 because they think the Democrats are weak on illegal immigration.

There is no need to waste our time in 2008 with that nonsense, and lose by 200+ electoral votes in the process.

[Adelante]

4. Cart before the horse

I'm not talking about impact on the polls but impact on Edwards' decision-making. I expected, since he is moving out, that the polls would have shown him already dropping, but it's not the case.

I don't think Richardson has more problems than any other candidate when it comes to the Repuke hate machine spinning into action. It's always something, and if it's not, they will lie.

[trayted]

5. Richardson has more problems than any other candidate for the reasons I stated. Maybe Democrats

need to start thinking like strategists instead of volunteers. Anyone can see what's coming if Richardson is nominated, and it's going to work because too many "non-active" Democratic voters who just see "who the nominee is" and vote will be swayed over the illegal immigration issue. They have made that known enough with the venom they spew on C-Span. Nominating Bill Richardson would be suicide.

If thinking ahead is putting the cart before the horse, then I put the cart before the horse better than many.

[Adelante]

7. I think we speak different languages

Talk to somebody else.

[trayted]

2. Hey mario, I guarantee you that Reid really supports Hillary Clinton in 2008

That's why Reid accused Edwards of taking Nevada lightly by shifting some campaign workers to other states, as if "less" isn't sometimes more effective than "more."

My MacBook Pro is a lot smaller than laptops were 10 years ago, and I can do a lot more with it.

What makes Reid think that John Edwards running a leaner organization in NV is a sign that he doesn't take Nevada seriously, like Reid suggested?

I hope the "spin" doesn't hurt Edwards there. The strategy won't. The "spin" could.

[Alamom]

6. k&r