This is fun: 2008 Democrats Sales Shares, July-August 2007 Check out the Kooch!

[Adelante]

Since November of 2004, we have been tracking the number of bumper stickers, magnets, campaign buttons and shirts that we sell in support for each of the Democratic candidates in the 2008 presidential race. While polls measure opinions of the moment, our measure tracks a more strong and lasting and lasting commitment to show their support for a particular candidate in a public way. That kind of strong commitment turns into donations, and later turns into votes.

-snip

Goodness, but that’s a busy graph, isn’t it? We can start to make sense of it by looking at the week of August 12-18 as anomalous, especially for Dennis Kucinich, for Barack Obama, for John Edwards, and for Al Gore. Taking that week out of the picture, we can see the steady Hillary Clinton and the variable Barack Obama vying for first place in the hearts of committed Americans, with Dennis Kucinich surging to rival them. The phrase “committed Americans” is key here — it’s clear we’re measuring something different from the national polls, which ask for random citizens’ casual, non-binding preferences. Dennis Kucinich fares more poorly in polls than John Edwards, although just a bit better than Bill Richardson and Joseph Biden. But I think that the people who are Kucinich supporters are highly motivated — by righteous dudgeon, by a vision for a starkly different world, perhaps; if you’re a Kucinich supporter please tell me what drives you. That strong motivation may be what is leading to Dennis Kucinich’s strong relative performance among the committed.

There are just a bit more than four months left before it’s voting time in the Democratic primaries, folks. This is do-or-die time here, and the news here for Joe Biden, John Edwards, Christopher Dodd and Mike Gravel is not good. Each of these individuals, if they are to break into the top tier of candidates, is going to have to rely on a building wave of strong supportive sentiment. I don’t see anything like that forming for these four candidates. Finally, I think it’s been dawning on people that Al Gore may have really meant it when he said he had no plan to run for president.

Will this pattern change after Labor Day, when “they” say politics moves from light-hearted to serious? Look for another update next week.

http://irregulartimes.com/index.php/archives/2007/08/27/tracking-2008-democrats-sales-shares-july-august-2007/

[New Earth]

1. w00t

[LWolf]

2. Highly motivated? You bet.

It's that "vision of a starkly different world" thing.

Will you post an update next week?

[Adelante]

3. I'll try to remember, LWolf

I think they do it by month or two months.

[AtomicKitten]

4. fascinating, really

on edit: I've seen a lot of Obama stickers here in SF, one HRC and one Kucinich - so far.

whatever that means