2004 ARG New Hampshire polls: this proves all these silly polls at this stage are mean less

[bigdarryl]

http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/nhpoll/demtrack/
2004 NH Democratic Polling Summary

[wyldwolf]

1. no it doesn't

:shrug:

[draft_mario_cuomo]

2. That is because Iowa influenced NH

It will again. What we should look for in NH are trends, though. People forget that Kerry, while he was nowhere in Iowa and the national polls during the fall of 2003, was always running strong in NH. Half of NH is in the Boston television market.

Standings during the Jan. 17-19 tracking poll before Iowa

Dean 28%
Kerry 20%
Clark 19%
Edwards 8%
Lieberman 7%

The major change was Kerry rising after winning Iowa. Dean stayed about the same. I believe he won 26% of the vote. Clark fell to 13% but he had already begun his decline by this point. Edwards enjoyed a small bounce for finishing 2nd.

[bigdarryl]

3. And they still had Dean leading in NH

[draft_mario_cuomo]

4. What the poll shows is Iowa matters nt

[bigdarryl]

5. Edwards was barely registering on the radar with 3% in the polls and....

ended up coming in second.

[defendandprotect]

6. We're more than a year from the election -- !!!! All this does is give the GOP . . . .

more time to attack the Democratic front-runner --

[zulchzulu]

7. Who is Undecided? He/She always does well all the way up to December