Someone needs to call Wolf Blitzer and inform him Edwards is leading In Iowa

[surfermaw]

I may send Wolf an email and inform that Tim R..reported that Edwards is leading the pack in Iowa.

[Adelante]

1. It is exaggerating to say Edwards is leading the pack in Iowa

He leads one poll one day and Clinton leads another day. They've been moving back and forth, but it's often tied and at times with all three of the top tier within the MOE of each other. When polls are averaged, Clinton at this moment is a smidge ahead.

http://www.pollster.com/08-IA-Dem-Pres-Primary.php

[Apollo11]

3. Thanks for the link

Lets seen now ..

28 polls taken in Iowa since the start of this year.

Out of those 28 polls, 9 of them have Hillary in the lead.

Out of those 9 polls, 7 of them were conducted by ARG.

Now I don't know who is running the show at ARG.

But whoever it is seems to like Hillary Clinton! ;-)

[Adelante]

4. Pollster has been running an interesting series on the ARG effect in Iowa

In the case of Clinton, ARG polls are consistently far above the results of other polls. This has been widely remarked upon already. And in the Clinton case, the ARG polls have shown some decline in support in Iowa, while other polls have shown an increase in her support. This is also the case in which ARG exerts a significant influence on the trend estimator. The blue trend line (with ARG included) is well above the red trend estimate which excludes ARG. This was especially true early in 2007 when there were few polls and several from ARG, giving them an extra influence due to lack of non-ARG data. As polling frequency has increased the two trend estimates have converged, but the non-ARG estimate remains a couple of points below the overall trend.

-snip

It is clear that ARG's estimates for Clinton have consistently been out of line with others, and that this has had an effect on my trend estimates, making Clinton appear more competitive in the first half of 2007.

But let's also look at the other candidates. ARG is less consistent in over- or under-estimating Edwards' support. Some ARG polls have put Edwards below trend, but others have him above trend. While ARG has disagreed with other pollsters in individual polls, the effect of ARG on the trend estimate for Edwards is negligible.

On the other hand, ARG has consistently had Obama below the support found in other polls, and well below the trend estimate. Despite this, the effect of ARG on the trend estimates has been small for Obama, with the blue and red trend estimates consistently quite close to one another.

Finally, Richardson has been a bit underestimated by ARG, but again with little influence on the trend estimates.

http://www.pollster.com/blogs/the_effect_of_arg_polling_on_i.php

[saltpoint]

2. I think Wolf suffers from over-exposure.

He'd be a more effective anchor-type figure if he were on the air less frequently.

He's startlingly bland. At points during his program you find yourself asking why CNN producers turn their cameras onto a talking kuala-like entity, but they do.

I'd like to see Wolf's role reduced and quite a bit more of Jack Cafferty.