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True or False: If Hillary wins both Iowa and New Hampshire, she's the nominee

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Herman Munster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-05-07 07:48 PM
Original message
True or False: If Hillary wins both Iowa and New Hampshire, she's the nominee
And it may be all over if she wins Iowa as that is the one state where it's really tight. Unless the Hillary is inevitable aura she has is slashed at the beginning, I think she steamrolls everyone given how compressed the schedule is.
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liberalnurse Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-05-07 07:51 PM
Response to Original message
1. Yes,
She takes the prize.
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jgraz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-05-07 07:56 PM
Response to Original message
2. Not necessarily
Edited on Wed Sep-05-07 07:57 PM by jgraz
But most likely.

I'm hoping that's not a scenario we'll have to worry about.

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nealmhughes Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-05-07 07:57 PM
Response to Original message
3. NH and Iowa are only good for press. One still has to count the number of delegates at the con-
vention! In other words, the Super Southern Primary could make mincemeat out of any Iowa and NH delegation wins. NY, Illinois, Ohio, Florida, California, Texas, etc. are the big ones. The super primaries can probably do more to the press image of a candidate than Iowa and NH. As soon as the "real" delegate count begins, then the mood shifts.

For example: Buchanan won in 1996 in NY as did Hart in 1984! There is still plenty of time after the early ones for an onset of "foot in mouth" disease. . .
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surfermaw Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-05-07 08:05 PM
Response to Original message
4. Edwards is running ahead in Iowa
Some are expecting him to take N.H and SC.
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Josh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-05-07 08:09 PM
Response to Reply #4
7. I don't know about that, but he definitely stays alive by winning IA -
I think losing in Iowa dooms the Edwards candidacy.
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NoPasaran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-05-07 09:07 PM
Response to Reply #7
11. I agree with you
Edwards needs to win Iowa, and he probably needs a convincing victory there. Scraping by with a percentage point or two probably will be counted as a loss for him.
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LittleClarkie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-05-07 08:07 PM
Response to Original message
5. Not unless it is a commanding win
as opposed to just a couple of percentage points.
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cobalt1999 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-05-07 08:08 PM
Response to Original message
6. Iowa and NH will decide Edwards fate, not Hillary's.
If she does win in those states, Edwards will be basically out. Then it'll be down to Obama and Hillary. That's a toss up.
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ileus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-05-07 08:10 PM
Response to Original message
8. Hillary has it in the bag, never doubt that.
My SIL and I are both voting for her, and almost everyone I talk to believes she'll be the next prez.
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sandnsea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-05-07 08:12 PM
Response to Original message
9. Most likely
The country appears to be stuck in the maggot syndrome. Pull it out of a pile of shit and it crawls right back in.

*sigh*
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saltpoint Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-05-07 08:24 PM
Response to Original message
10. Edwards takes Iowa. Biden wins New Hampshire.
Senator Clinton will eke out a narrow win in Nevada between IA and NH but Bill Richardson will finish such a strong second that he'll feel like the winner.

Those three states' outcomes would scramble the notion of an easy straightaway for any one candidate, and would leave the door a bit more open to late entrants. Gary, Wes, Al, and Bobby.

Put the beer on ice early. I think it's gonna be a humdinger of a political year coming up.
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IndianaGreen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-05-07 09:54 PM
Response to Original message
12. Answer: FALSE. Hillary will only be the Ethanol Queen with a granite heart!
Unfortunately, by the time February 6 rolls in, we will know who the nominee is.
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