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I've never been accused of being an optimist ... but I'm not so sure we've turned a corner here, and I don't think a Democrat victory in 2008 is a forgone conclusion.
I just don't think the American people have come as far as you seem to ... and I am not so sure that the 2006 election was a mandate for a liberal agenda, it may have just been a pissed-off knock at conservatives. I know polling is showing a supposedly "anti-war" sentiment ... but I've been getting the nagging feeling that it is based less on Americans being against the war, and more on Americans being pissed off that we're losing the war. That's a MAJOR distinction.
The American culture is based primarily on nationalism, violence, misogyny and racism ... the American people, with all their masculine cowboy sensibilities, believe that we've got the right to police the world, and that 9-11 gave us a blank check to attack whomever we choose. I get the feeling that they'd support the Iraq war if we were only winning it ... which opens the door for a "new strategy" for victory in Iraq, rather than a withdrawal from Iraq.
I simply don't believe the majority of Americans are anti-war (as nothing in America's vile past has shown them to be anti-war).
As for the upcoming Presidential election ... it isn't a particularly popular stand on this forum, but I think we might lose. There are a few reasons why ...
(1) Our nominee is likely to be Hillary Clinton. She's got decades of baggage, and her unpopularity numbers are astronomical. It does not bode well for a Presidential candidate when 46-49% of the electorate will not vote for her under any circumstances. Not to mention the fact that I'm not convinced that she'll even take us out of Iraq if elected. Also - if 2006 was an anti-war mandate, we're nominating the wrong candidate ... the one who is the most likely to keep the status quo in Iraq.
(2) Americans are absolutely tired of George W. Bush. But, Bush isn't running. They're not tired of Fred Thompson or Rudy Giuliani (and may actually be more tired of Hillary Clinton than either likely Republican nominee). Once the Republicans get a new party leader, I fear that people may not transfer their dislike of B*sh to the new candidate.
Fred Thompson scares the hell out of me. He's just the kind of guy that middle-America loves ... he's a good-'ol-boy with a Southern accent, he's an arch-conservative hawk, he's a tax-cutting supply-sider, he's got that hyper-machismo that ignorant-Americans often go for, and he's quicker-witted and more well-spoken than B*sh. He honestly reminds me of Ronny Raygun ... and we all recall what Raygun did to liberalism and the Democratic Party. If he gets elected, there could be many dark days ahead.
Giuliani scares me less because of his past ... but I also think Thompson will be the likely nominee, so it doesn't matter.
(3) Additionally, there's the election fraud angle. If this race is even close, it'll go to the Republicans. With Democrats running their least-likeable candidate, and Republicans running their most-likeable (to middle-America), I don't see how it won't be close.
I think we often get caught up in DU, and forget that Democrats must win in middle-America in order to prevail, and must overcome Diebold, and rampant voter fraud to do so. I think we're going to nominate the EXACT wrong candidate to win over the ignorant, masculine, racist masses in middle-America ... and it looks to me like the Republicans are going to nominate the exact right candidate to do so.
Personally, I'm preparing for the Fred Thompson administration ... and four more years of endless war (probably in Iran and Syria, along with Iraq), death, poverty and environmental destruction.
Z
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