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Ethelk2044 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 06:40 PM
Original message
Democrats Panic In The Heartland
The era of the red-state Democrat will have suffered a very short reign if Hillary Clinton wins her party's nomination next year, at least according to the fears of some members of her party.

While 2006 saw impressive Democratic wins on traditionally Republican turf, most notably Jim Webb in Virginia, John Tester in Montana, Nancy Boyda in Kansas, and Heath Shuler in North Carolina, some red-state Democrats warn that the "Hillary drag" may eviscerate their ranks in 2008.

Some are quiet about it, like the 39 Democratic state and local officials who told the Associated Press they would talk about their fears of Hillary Clinton dragging them down only if they could remain anonymous, fearing reprisals from the Clintons.

But some are louder, like Dave "Mudcat" Sanders, a consultant for John Edwards' campaign, and one of the most colorful and lively Democratic strategists in America. He puts it simply: "Edwards has coattails; Hillary has anti-coattails."

"For Hillary to go out into rural America, and tell us she's going to help us, and tell us all the wonderful things she's going to do for us, it takes gall," Sanders says. He goes on to say:
"If the Clintons had gone to the mat for universal health care the way they did for NAFTA and for crazy one-sided trade treaties, and had listened about the giant sucking sound that Ross Perot told them about, we would still have our health care and our jobs. It takes gall for her to say she's going to help us. She's got a record of killing us

http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2007/09/20/opinion/main3281809.shtml
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IndyOp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 06:42 PM
Response to Original message
1. I don't generally like Mudcat, but I do believe Hillary has anti-coattails.
I live in a red state and this is a regular topic of concerned conversation. :-(
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Zodiak Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 06:58 PM
Response to Reply #1
12. I hear the same
I hear Texans willing to vote for Edwards, though. That's encouraging because the area I'm from is ruby red to this day.
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Ninja Jordan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 06:44 PM
Response to Original message
2. Hillary just seems UNSTOPPABLE at this point.
We shall see, though.
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Ethelk2044 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 06:45 PM
Response to Reply #2
5. Not one vote has ben casted yet.
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Ninja Jordan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 06:47 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. I know, but she is definitely the elephant in the room, so to speak.
Big money, big candidate, big machine. Obama seems to have been tapering off a bit while Edwards has surged somewhat.
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MrRobotsHolyOrders Donating Member (681 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 08:42 PM
Response to Reply #7
20. How do you quantify that?
"Obama seems to have been tapering off a bit while Edwards has surged somewhat."

I'll believe that Hillary is perceived as an early favorite, but I don't get how you could quantify Obama slipping/Edwards surging. Most people aren't ensconced in this whole, "Dodd's teeth seemed extra white today... is this the end for Obama?!" nonsense that the 24-hour internet news analysis cycle demands.
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superkia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 08:46 PM
Response to Reply #7
24. I dont know anyone that is voting for her? Maybe its where I live?
I cant seem to get her speech to go to war out of my head.

In the four years since the inspectors left, intelligence reports show that Saddam Hussein has worked to rebuild his chemical and biological weapons stock, his missile delivery capability, and his nuclear program. He has also given aid, comfort, and sanctuary to terrorists, including Al Qaeda members, though there is apparently no evidence of his involvement in the terrible events of September 11, 2001.

It is clear, however, that if left unchecked, Saddam Hussein will continue to increase his capacity to wage biological and chemical warfare, and will keep trying to develop nuclear weapons. Should he succeed in that endeavor, he could alter the political and security landscape of the Middle East, which as we know all too well affects American security.

And people gave Obama hell for calling her Bush light, read it, listen to her rhetoric. Is this truly who we want leading our country, I hope we all wake up before the primaries pass and its too late once again!


http://clinton.senate.gov/news/statements/details.cfm?id=233783
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flpoljunkie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 06:46 PM
Response to Reply #2
6. The good voters of Iowa are keeping it close, and may well refuse to go with Hillary. We will see.
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Inspired Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 06:55 PM
Response to Reply #6
10. This Iowan refuses.
There is no way I'll caucus for Hillary.
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greatauntoftriplets Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 07:10 PM
Response to Reply #2
14. At this time four years ago, conventional wisdom was saying the same thing about....
Howard Dean.
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MannyGoldstein Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 07:21 PM
Response to Reply #2
15. President Dean Sends His Regards!
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silvershadow Donating Member (321 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 10:40 PM
Response to Reply #2
30. I am pretty sure she will be stopped
I am convinced that the reason the Repubs have been pushing her for many, many months now is that they have something to derail her candidacy. Of course it will happen AFTER the nomination. Rove will dig up the dead body and put it on display and it's all over. Luckily I am more interested in other candidates at this point.
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flpoljunkie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 06:44 PM
Response to Original message
3. Pretty strong stuff. Evidently Mudcat only one willing to speak out against Clintons ticket drag.
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BootinUp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 06:45 PM
Response to Original message
4. I have seen no evidence that Edwards
has coat-tails. Its nothing but a dream from the Edwards camp.
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w4rma Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 06:49 PM
Response to Reply #4
8. Oh, you've seen the evidence in poll after poll of general election voters. (nt)
Edited on Thu Sep-20-07 06:49 PM by w4rma
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BootinUp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 07:21 PM
Response to Reply #8
16. Well, I haven't, maybe cause I haven't looked
I am willing to look now, what do you have to share?
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MrRobotsHolyOrders Donating Member (681 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 08:44 PM
Response to Reply #4
21. There's no evidence of anything
The 'coat-tails' arguments is total guess work.
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THUNDER HANDS Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 06:52 PM
Response to Original message
9. i don't get it
how is she leading in polls if people are so worried about her?

they do poll the heartland right?

I'd also like to point out the simple fact that we don't win the heartland anyway, but whatev.

We take Ohio, we win. bottom line.
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MrRobotsHolyOrders Donating Member (681 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 08:36 PM
Response to Reply #9
19. Not really, dawg
"I'd also like to point out the simple fact that we don't win the heartland anyway, but whatev."

The question isn't winning electoral votes in the Midwest, the question is congressional seats in the Midwest.
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tularetom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 06:56 PM
Response to Original message
11. What he says makes a lot of sense
but who the hell is goiing to listen to some doofus who goes around callin himself Mudcat. I know he must think it's some cute hillbilly nickname to endear himself to the hicks, but it makes everybody else think he's a dumshit.
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BootinUp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 08:46 PM
Response to Reply #11
23. you hurt me with that one. n/t
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Bitwit1234 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 07:09 PM
Response to Original message
13. Maybe she should drag.....................the heartland
the damn so called democrats that won the election in those states aren't democrats at all they are asskissingbushcrackers..
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antiimperialist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 07:25 PM
Response to Original message
17. This article is BS. Hillary beats all Republicans in Virginia, Kentucky, FLA and MO, poll says
Edited on Thu Sep-20-07 07:25 PM by antiimperialist
In Kentucky:
Hillary 49%
Giuliani 44%

Hillary 49%
Giuliani 44%

Hillary 53%
Romney 41%

This is from a Rasmussen poll 1 month ago.
http://www.hedgehogreport.com/index.php/7236

CBS=Continous Bull Shit.
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PATRICK Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 07:48 PM
Response to Original message
18. The coattails and the polling today
Things don't jive together so things can be mashed into an ugly fit. The polls today may only have the significance of the moment, the name recognition, the media frame which for reasons supported by weary evidence cannot compare to the decision to actually cast a personal ballot.

On paper, in persona and populism and in the needs of the moment, in region religion or whatever, edwards is logically, passionately the best choice for coattails and getting people in and getting things passed in Congress. it all fits together. What he is not is a shoe-in, media darling cultic hero like an Eisenhower. Eisenhower had won before he even declared a party. Actively suppressed by the GOP control of media script, just one of many in the eyes of ordinary voters, the impossible demand is that he prove he has already accomplished what logic and passion says he could. Somehow the demand gets a pass for Hillary, an equally suppressed doubt to pump up the illogical. That overnight she will erase the negatives, crush the GOP, not inspire it, conquer all the demographics starting with the women's vote. That power will sweep in power and accomplish things more progressively than she dare mention much less promise. All the contradictory doubts and passes and divisions are worthless.

There is a human being. Trust and hope and judge by experience and performance. Flaws, trajectory and commitment and where it is moving. After all the subjectives I would say Edwards is the best shot- no guarantees- to accomplish it all with genuine leadership and a kickstart for others to do more. No poll in the world influenced by other considerations is going to change my mind. Mostly the American people can be trusted to do the same with the usual attrition due to media unfairness, candidate imperfection and that even under the most perfect of campaigns a big chunk of the population goes with some party or ideological prejudice even in the deepest crisis outside of an active Depression.

Unless there exists some pre-anointed gigantic figure who can make these polls look equally godlike, even smart. Thank heaven no such name like that exists today, even an untypically great public servant.
In our times principles clearly match reality and performance. The wrong choices exact heavy tolls. Imperfect choices have a price. Hope and going forward means hoping and going forward. Officials who cower and do not act on their own best judgment even in their own BEST interests fulfill their own fears- and keep their unworthy friends and pathetic patterns of thoughts and compromised actions.

In this journey of hope in which I recognize the complaints and misgivings of Edwards' fair-mined critics, I first hope the voters get out from under the false games - in Iowa- or all other hopes are forever moot, mute and empty speculation. A lot of decent Dems never got the chance to move us forward. All GOP and too many Dems have had every day to apply the brakes and drive blindly in reverse.

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CK_John Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 08:44 PM
Response to Original message
22. So we should dumb down our candidates for the red states dino's. n/t
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fujiyama Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 09:15 PM
Response to Original message
25. What kind of shit is this?
The woman is endorsed by hundreds of "moderates", and now we hear some worrying about how she'll play in rural America? I'm not talking about the Edwards' supporter, but the tons of support Hillary has from DLC pols all around (I'm sure they have these "secret reservations" they'll air out once she loses the general election).

Wow, talk about a party of indecisiveness, incohesiveness, and cowardice. I seriously think the slogan for '08 is "we don't have a wide stance!". That and "No diaper fetishes!".

We have nothing to run on other than not being a bunch of depraved, corrupt fucks. Instead we're a bunch of fucking pansy ass cowards unwilling or incapable of standing up for anything.


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illinoisprogressive Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 09:22 PM
Response to Original message
26. this along with her negatives are extreemly concerning. We will lose
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illinoisprogressive Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 09:24 PM
Response to Original message
27. Guess who is leading in the rural vote: obama. and in fundraising with rural.
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illinoisprogressive Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 09:29 PM
Response to Reply #27
28. I suggest everyone link and read the full article. it's not good at all.
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calteacherguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-20-07 10:02 PM
Response to Original message
29. And what this twit from the Edwards campaign says is important? I think not. nt
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MadHound Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-21-07 05:51 AM
Response to Original message
31. It isn't Hillary's coattails, or lack thereof, that will keep me from voting for McCaskill
It will be McCaskill's record that prevents me from voting for her. Last fall, I held my nose and voted for her, knowing full well that she was a conservative Dem. It has turned out worse than that, she is nothing more than a 'Pug in Dem clothing, voting for funding the war, and yesterday voting to condemn MoveOn's ad. Unless she changes her voting record soon, I won't be voting for her in '12.
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Alamom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-21-07 06:02 AM
Response to Original message
32. Reprinted from: NRO - America's Premier Site for Conservative News, Analysis, and Opinion.
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Perry Logan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-21-07 06:19 AM
Response to Original message
33. Funny how the anti-Hillarites sing in such harmony with wingnuts.
Edited on Fri Sep-21-07 06:20 AM by Perry Logan
They believe the same things about Hillary, repeat the same memes about Hillary, etc.
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