OHdem10
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Fri Sep-21-07 09:57 AM
Original message |
No Matter,Who is President----Protecting OIL Supply, Priority |
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Last night C. Rose did an in-depth interview with A. Greenspan, former Federal Reserve Chairman.
He very concretely explained what is behind "It is in our national security interest " comment always used but no one spells it out so to speak.
According to Greenspan, every President, as soon as he is sworn in recognizes or is made to recognize that Energy and our supply of energy is of utmost priority. Since we depend on oil, what goes on in the Middle East is first priority. The Middle East supplies the US and the World. There is only ONE way out of the Middle East for oil to be shipped--through the strait of Hormeus. An American President has to wake up every morning, hoping the Oil is moving smoothly through the Strait. If a Democrat becomes President she/or he will face this reality.
Here is the clincher, IMO. Having any one ME Leader become too powerful means that one person may use his power to shut down the flow of oil if he gets angry or simply to exercise his power to the world. Greenspan without taking sides explained that Saddam with Nuclear Weapons could threaten the neighbors to keep them in check and could literally cut off the world's oil supply. He could practically destroy our economy and stock market and in turn bring other economies to their knees. I am describing the mindset here. This explains the thinking behinc that"It is in our national security interest". This is why any war in the Middle East is "largely about oil". He did state The Bush Administration may not have believe the war was about oil.
IMO: Now, the coming showdown with Iran could be viewed in the same manner. We have made Iran more powerful by taking away their primary enemy --Saddam. Iran is jockeying to be the leader among ME Countries. In their view it is the Shias' turn. The fear of Iran in power means our enemy can control the flow of oil through the strait and at a moments notice bring down the American Economy. No matter what we are yipping about, nuclear weapons: It is the Power that having Nuclear Weapons gives to Iran. With this power, they control the flow of oil. It is always Largely about oil. Gre4enspan did not discuss Iran. I just applied the same logic.
Greenspan like many of us believes we need to get off our addiction to oil and fossil fuels and the sooner the better.
Understanding this should help people make better arguments pro or con.
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acmavm
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Fri Sep-21-07 10:00 AM
Response to Original message |
1. We are protecting the oil supplies for big oil and the oil families. |
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As long as we focus on oil, we don't develop reasonable, safe alternative sources of energy. If we did, how would the oil companies and the oil families maintain their status and their wealth?
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DemocratSinceBirth
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Fri Sep-21-07 10:03 AM
Response to Reply #1 |
3. We Need To Find Alternative Sources Of Energy For Sure |
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But as now two thirds of the world's oil supplies go through the Persian Gulf and without that oil there would be a global despression which would impact those at the bottom of the seconomic latter even more than those at the top...
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acmavm
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Fri Sep-21-07 10:13 AM
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6. There will be no shortage for the users of oil. We need to wean |
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ourselves from fossil fuels. There won't be any big depression. We develop technology for the west and the east will gobble up what we don't use.
Anyway, when the war that will engulf the whole friggin' Middle East breaks out, how we gonna be getting our hands on that oil?
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ShortnFiery
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Fri Sep-21-07 10:15 AM
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7. "We need to wean ourselves from fossil fuels." Starting NOW!!! nt |
DemocratSinceBirth
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Fri Sep-21-07 10:19 AM
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10. We Have Been Saying That For Thirty Five Years... |
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I rememember as a high school debate student in 1975 taking the affirmative position in a debate that America should be energy independent in twenty years...
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acmavm
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Fri Sep-21-07 11:57 AM
Response to Reply #10 |
16. And the same families ran the oil companies then as now. And |
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they are pulling the same schemes and scams that they pulled then. And 25 years ago they ran this country and called the shots in regard to the US energy policy.
We have to take back the government. We have to rip it out of the hands of Big Oil and the insurance companies.
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DemocratSinceBirth
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Fri Sep-21-07 10:01 AM
Response to Original message |
2. That's The Carter Doctrine |
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The Carter Doctrine was a policy proclaimed by President of the United States Jimmy Carter in his State of the Union Address on 23 January 1980, which stated that the United States would use military force if necessary to defend its national interests in the Persian Gulf region. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carter_Doctrine
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ShortnFiery
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Fri Sep-21-07 10:19 AM
Response to Reply #2 |
9. Well, like his major flaw with his promoting of NAFTA, this Doctrine needs revision. |
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I think if you asked the man, one each, Jimmy Carter, he would not be for all this dangerous "saber rattling" to bomb Iran?
Can't we see: The rest of The World is NOT afraid of Iran developing Nuclear Technology but scared shitless that we'll go off half-cocked with mini-nukes against Iran.
WE, OUR WAR-MONGERING UNITARY EXECUTIVE and HIS SPRING-BUTT GENERALS are leading the march toward ARMAGEDDON ... Now that's one Hell of an Exit Strategy. :grr:
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DemocratSinceBirth
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Fri Sep-21-07 10:22 AM
Response to Reply #9 |
12. Two Thirds Of The World's Oil Goes Through The Persian Gulf |
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No American president would allow the spigot to be turned off...
That being said, defending the world's oil supply and the best way to deal with Iran are two separate issues...
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MetalCanuck
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Fri Sep-21-07 10:03 AM
Response to Original message |
4. Actually not all presidential Candidates will support oil |
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Dennis Kucinich, Mike Gravel and Ron Paul will not prop up
oil.
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DemocratSinceBirth
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Fri Sep-21-07 10:04 AM
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5. What Am I Going To Fill My Car Up With? |
OHdem10
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Fri Sep-21-07 10:36 AM
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15. Could this be why neither of these candidates will become |
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president.
It is not just the oll companies, the stock market and the US economy are perceived as in danger.
The Market goes into a panic when a large storm gets into the Gulf of Mexico.
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DemocratSinceBirth
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Fri Sep-21-07 12:02 PM
Response to Reply #15 |
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A few oil producing nations have us by the short hairs and we will cajole them, co op them, up to the point that they try to turn the spigot off...
But I would add it's more than the economy...It would kind of be hard to get to work, run your computer, light your home, get food to the market, etcetera without energy...
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frogcycle
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Fri Sep-21-07 10:17 AM
Response to Original message |
8. which Jimmy Carter recognized acutely |
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and started a serious effort toward alternative energy - a target of having the US be 20% solar energy by 2000 -
That was a president who recognized the problem and attempted to exercise leadership to address it. Since then... not so much.
The choice back then was the same as now. Kick the addiction to an unreliable source of energy, or take over the world. Sadly, the latter choice still does not address the problem, since the source is not only unreliable but also finite and its use is destructive to the planet.
Reagan had the solar panels removed from the White House.
Al Gore tried to get us back on the track of addressing the energy/climate issue as soon as the Clinton admin came in. We had a shot then at undoing 12 years of regressive policy. Clinton did well on many issues, but Gore little to no support from Clinton on this issue. I believe he intended to bide his time, succeed Clinton, and then resume Carter's visionary approach.
I will never forgive Clinton for letting the clenis derail what might have been the salvation of the planet and our form of government. He handed it back to the cabal, and they have had another eight years to drive our government into the ground and drive their world domination agenda. And I blame dems in general for being spineless against all the attacks of the "right wing conspiracy" (there is an example of a case where Hillary was 1000% correct).
That, in a nutshell, is my discomfort with Hillary as the standard bearer. Despite being right, at the end of the day Bil/Hil handed it back to the cabal. They tried the Neville Chamberlain approach and failed. They did not recognize the true nature of the evil we have been facing since - oh, I guess forever, but certainly its emergence toward the end of the Eisenhower admin is a significant period. It tried to put tricky dick in, which would have been the launch of the movement, and got thwarted by progressives and John Kennedy. So it bided its time, got itself a dem to its liking and a war, then got tricky dick in after all. Carter was a brief delay to its plan, nothing more.
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shain from kane
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Fri Sep-21-07 10:22 AM
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MetalCanuck
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Fri Sep-21-07 10:28 AM
Response to Reply #11 |
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Watch "Who Killed the Electric car" and find out.
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The Traveler
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Fri Sep-21-07 10:27 AM
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13. Alternative energy == national security priority |
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Sure. I can buy that argument. Been a valid argument for 30 years or more. So, why then has development of alternative fuel sources not been a national security priority given this rather massive vulnerability? Carter was headed in that direction ... so what happened? Oh. Yeah. The nation decided to go for an actor who didn't believe in any of that kind of stuff. Easier to deploy troops than to invent something new ... and inventing something new might upset the financial prospects of one's wealthier contributors.
I think a strong argument could be made that free market forces have failed massively to respond to the twin crises of fuel resource depletion and climate change. This failure threatens the very foundations of the civilization that supports the operation of those so-called free markets. One could therefore argue that the free market is unsustainable and unable to support itself.
As I have mulled this over the past few years, I have concluded that without wise regulation by a force (government) that represents the public interest in the short and long term the free market cannot produce a sustainable system. This is not really the fault of markets ... rather it is the fault of a government constructed on the theory that the market is always and inevitably wiser, and it is the fault of the ideology that produced that theory. Somewhere between the extremes of corporate anarchy and centrally planned economies, there is a place of effective balance. A principle challenge for Democratic Party theorists is to identify that place, and clearly describe its characteristics.
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beachmom
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Fri Sep-21-07 12:01 PM
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17. 80% of the oil in Iraq is in the South, and not under our control |
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I agree that oil plays a part in all of this, but the truth is the southern part of Iraq is run by two warring Shi'ite militias under Iranian influence, with 5,000 British soldiers hunkered down in a garrisoned base (and they will be leaving soon). There is more oil in southern Iraq than in the North, so Bush is even screwing up the Empire of Oil game. I assume the oil companies are already negotiating with the two militias to make sure they get a piece. Their allegiance is to $$ not the United States.
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