NM-1, OH-15 Could Tip to Democrats

[brooklynite]

The latest Evans-Novak Political Report suggests New Mexico's first congressional district could tip towards Democrats with Rep. Heather Wilson (R-NM) announcing her intentions to run for U.S. Senate. "The district is 42 percent Hispanic, which puts it almost totally outside GOP reach: Republicans represent only five of the 41 other congressional districts that are one-third or more Hispanic." The race is rated "Leaning Democratic Takeover."

Meanwhile, in Ohio's 15th congressional district, Novak suggests the GOP "may have given up on the seat currently held by retiring Rep. Deborah Pryce (R-OH)" with several strong Democratic candidates likely to run. The race is rated "Likely Democratic Takeover."

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2007/10/10/nm1_oh15_could_tip_to_democrats.html

[sasquatch]

1. I'm glad to see that Pryce is going away

[Dr.Phool]

2. Maybe someone could take out "Mean Jean" up there too.

[brooklynite]

4. Rothenber rates that as "Leans Republican"

2008 House Ratings

PURE TOSS-UP (5 R, 4 D)

FL 16 (Mahoney, D)
KS 2 (Boyda, D)
PA 10 (Carney, D)
TX 22 (Lampson, D)
AZ 1 (Open; Renzi, R)
IL 11 (Open; Weller, R)
MN 3 (Open; Ramstad, R)
NM1 (Open; Wilson, R)
VA 11 (Open; Davis, R)

TOSS-UP/TILT REPUBLICAN (3 R, 0 D)

FL 13 (Buchanan, R)
NC 8 (Hayes, R)
WA 8 (Reichert, R)

TOSS-UP/TILT DEMOCRATIC (1 R, 4 D)

CA 11 (McNerney, D)
GA 8 (Marshall, D)
IL 8 (Bean, D)
NH 1 (Shea-Porter, D)
OH 15 (Open; Pryce, R)

LEAN REPUBLICAN (11 R, 0 D)

CT 4 (Shays, R)
IL 10 (Kirk, R)
MI 9 (Knollenberg, R)
NV 3 (Porter, R)
NJ 7 (Ferguson, R)
NY 25 (Walsh, R)
NY 29 (Kuhl, R)
OH 1 (Chabot, R)
OH 2 (Schmidt, R)
OH 16 (Regula, R)
PA 6 (Gerlach, R)

LEAN DEMOCRATIC (0 R, 9 D)

AZ 5 (Mitchell, D)
GA 12 (Barrow, D)
IN 9 (Hill, D)
MN 1 (Walz, D)
NY 19 (Hall, D)
NY 20 (Gillibrand, D)
OH 18 (Space, D)
PA 4 (Altmire, D)
WI 8 (Kagen, D)

REPUBLICAN FAVORED (15 R, 0 D)

AK A-L (Young, R)
CA 4 (Doolittle, R)
CO 4 (Musgrave, R)
FL 8 (Keller, R)
IL 6 (Roskam, R)
IL 14 (Open; Hastert, R)
MI 7 (Walberg, R)
MN 6 (Bachmann, R)
MO 6 (Graves, R)
NJ 3 (Saxton, R)
NY 13 (Fosella, R)
PA 14 (Murphy, R)
VA 2 (Drake, R)
WV 2 (Capito, R)
WY AL (Cubin, R)

DEMOCRAT FAVORED (0 R, 10 D)

AZ 8 (Giffords, D)
CT 5 (Murphy, D)
IN 2 (Donnelly, D)
IN 8 (Ellsworth, D)
KS 3 (Moore, D)
KY 3 (Yarmuth, D)
ME 1 (Open; Allen, D)
PA 7 (Sestak, D)
PA 8 (Murphy, D)
TX 23 (Rodriguez, D)

[sasquatch]

5. That area is HEAVILY REPUBLICAN!

Damn near fascist somedays.

[Botany]

3. with several strong Democratic candidates likely to run????????

There is one .... Mary Jo Kilroy