Feanorcurufinwe
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Thu Feb-19-04 12:33 AM
Original message |
Kerry Only Dem Leading Bush in California According to New Poll |
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Without even setting foot in the Golden State, Massachusetts Senator John Kerry now leads President Bush, according to a Hoover Institution-Knowledge Networks survey of 567 registered California voters. The survey was administered via the web-enabled panel between February 4 and February 13 and has a sampling margin of error of 4.1 percentage points.
Respondents were asked how they would vote if the presidential election were between Bush and Kerry. Of those who had a preference, 48 percent preferred Bush and 52 percent Kerry. (When people who hadn't decided were included, Kerry won by 42-38.)
Kerry is the only Democratic candidate who beats Bush one-on-one; against Edwards, Bush wins narrowly by 52 to 48. (Given the margin of error, Kerry's lead could be as high as +12 or as low as -4).
The survey indicates that Californians are already strongly divided by their party affiliation. Bush wins only 8 percent of the state's Democrats, while Kerry is the choice of the same proportion of Republicans. Among Independents, Bush has a slight advantage, by 53 to 47. http://home.businesswire.com/portal/site/google/index.jsp?ndmViewId=news_view&newsId=20040218005946&newsLang=en
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SerpentX
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Thu Feb-19-04 12:47 AM
Response to Original message |
1. May or may not be true |
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The Hoover Institute is a nasty little rathole.
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Feanorcurufinwe
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Thu Feb-19-04 12:54 AM
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2. You think they falsified their findings? |
MurikanDemocrat
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Thu Feb-19-04 01:07 AM
Response to Reply #2 |
5. Like maybe the true results would show Bush further behind |
SerpentX
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Thu Feb-19-04 02:04 AM
Response to Reply #2 |
7. Not falsified, just possibly biased. |
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I don't take anything from Frank Luntz without a few lbs of salt either. Kerry's my candidate, but to say that Edwards couldn't beat Bush here is disingenuous.
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Feanorcurufinwe
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Thu Feb-19-04 02:15 AM
Response to Reply #7 |
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"Edwards couldn't beat Bush here" did they? Not me, and not the poll. So who exactly are you accusing of being "disingenuous"?
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SerpentX
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Thu Feb-19-04 02:25 AM
Response to Reply #11 |
14. Not you, the propellerheads over at Hoover. |
Feanorcurufinwe
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Thu Feb-19-04 02:27 AM
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15. Where did they say that? |
SerpentX
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Thu Feb-19-04 02:46 AM
Response to Reply #15 |
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- Edwards hasn't campaigned here. - Edwards can beat Bush anywhere in this state that Kerry can. - Edwards can beat Bush in places in this state where Kerry can't. - A poll from a hard-right think tank before Edwards has had the opportunity to really introduce himself isn't particularly persuasive. - I'm for Kerry, not against Edwards.
Sabe?
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TheDonkey
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Thu Feb-19-04 12:56 AM
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3. why would shrub being doing so well in california?? |
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i don't buy it. Even Kucinich should be beating that assmunch.
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Feanorcurufinwe
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Thu Feb-19-04 01:05 AM
Response to Reply #3 |
4. It's a mighty small sample, for one thing. |
Desertrose
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Thu Feb-19-04 01:25 AM
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6. you mean anyone here still believes polls? |
Feanorcurufinwe
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Thu Feb-19-04 02:06 AM
Response to Reply #6 |
8. What do you mean by 'believe'? |
Anwen
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Thu Feb-19-04 02:06 AM
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I've lived in sunny CA all my life...I am pretty positive ANY Democrat would squash Bush easily in this state.
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2004Donkeys
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Thu Feb-19-04 02:11 AM
Response to Reply #9 |
10. California might be drifting Republican |
Anwen
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Thu Feb-19-04 02:16 AM
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13. It would seem that way, but I doubt it. |
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Edited on Thu Feb-19-04 02:16 AM by Anwen
I think the whole Gray Davis/Ah-nold thing was an anomaly. Jeez I hope so anyway! :(
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DjTj
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Thu Feb-19-04 02:16 AM
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12. This is pre-Wisconsin... |
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...What percentage of Californians knew who Edwards was?
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Fri May 10th 2024, 05:08 AM
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