Rasmussen-N.H.- Clinton 38% Obama 22% Edwards 14% Kucinich 7%

[DemocratSinceBirth]

Clinton’s current lead is a bit smaller than it was in September, but it’s the fourth straight poll in which Clinton has been ahead by at least 15 percentage points in the first-in-the-nation primary. In all four surveys, Clinton’s support has stayed in a very narrow range from a low of 37% to a high of 40%. Clinton also leads in Iowa, the first caucus state, and in national polling.

As in earlier New Hampshire polls, Clinton benefits from a significant gender gap. She leads Obama by 23-points among women and by just six points among men. Obama does best among younger voters and liberal voters.

Fifty-two percent (52%) of Clinton supporters say they are certain they will vote for her and nothing will change their mind. Only 39% of Obama’s voters are that certain along with 29% of Edwards voters.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_2008__1/2008_presidential_election/election_2008_new_hampshire_democratic_primary

[MethuenProgressive]

1. 3rd paragraph is very interesting. Thanks for posting this.

:kick:

[MannyGoldstein]

2. President Dean Is Watching Closely

Dean's 30% lead one month before Iowa ensured him a victory.

:rofl:

[DemocratSinceBirth]

3. I Guess Denial Is One Way Of Coping With Bad News

But inner peace only comes with acceptance.

[MannyGoldstein]

6. OK, I Accept That Dean Did Not Win The Nomination

Despite being up by 30% only a month before Iowa.

Do you also accept (as I do) that polls, even days before primary season, mean little or nothing?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

7. The Final Polls Should Be Consonant With The Results

But I think I understand the question you're asking me...

Polls are mere snapshots but they are fun to look at and it's better to be winning than losing...

[MonkeyFunk]

10. nevermind

[LeftCoast]

4. Hmm...Dodd doesn't look like he got a bump for his good deeds this week

Only at 2%. Too bad. I was hoping he would get a nice bump.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

5. Seven Percent For Kucinich Is A Respectable Showing

It's a bit higher than in other NH polls... These polls do have margins of errors and all that...I look at them as a guide book and not a manual...

[geek tragedy]

8. The winner in Iowa will get a bump in NH.

If Hillary loses Iowa, she's vulnerable in NH.

If she wins Iowa, she'll steamroll everyone in NH.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

9. That's The Conventional Wisdom And You're Probably Right

But it's also an expectations game...

Gary Hart lost IA 40% -16% and used that momentum to clean Walter Mondale's clock in New Hampshire...

[geek tragedy]

16. Hillary's problem is that her national inevitability

squeeze play (trumpeting polls, twisting arms for endorsements, etc) makes it impossible for her to downplay expectations in Iowa. She will be expected to win Iowa.

[slipslidingaway]

11. Thank you, it is nice to see Kucinich move up in this NH poll

New Hampshire Dem Primary
Saturday, October 27, 2007

Hillary Clinton 38%

Barack Obama 22%

John Edwards 14%

Bill Richardson 7%

Dennis Kucinich 7%

Some other candidate 6%


New Hampshire Dem Primary
Tuesday, September 18, 2007

Hillary Clinton 40%

Barack Obama 17%

John Edwards 14%

Bill Richardson 11%

Joe Biden 5%

Some other candidate 14%

[Colobo]

12. Gobama! You can catch her!

[emilyg]

13. Thank you. I like "her".

[slipslidingaway]

14. Obama and Edwards are just not catching up to Clinton when

you look at the polls on this site since January 2007 to present. Maybe their message is, for the most part, too similar to what Clinton is saying???

Weekly Presidential Tracking Polling History

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_2008__1/weekly_presidential_tracking_polling_history

Date Clinton Obama Edwards


10/22/07 46% 24% 11%


01/17/07 22% 21% 15%

[bigdarryl]

15. Remember Independents can vote in NH and no telling what there going to do