45% reporting - actual numbers- old thread can't be edited anymore

robbedvoter

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Tue Jan-08-08 08:45 PM
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45% reporting - actual numbers- old thread can't be edited anymore

Edited on Tue Jan-08-08 09:45 PM by robbedvoter

.demographics info
Overall, youth turnout looks to be up. Turnout is up across the state - among all demographics - and young voters are currently projected to be 18% of the electorate - up from 14% in 2004. This means the hard turnout numbers (how many 18-29 year old actually cast a ballot) is also likely way up.

18 - 24 year olds: 11% of the electorate - Obama winning with 61% 25 - 29 year olds: 7% of the electorate - Clinton winning narrowly 37% - 34%

In Iowa, Obama carried both the 17-24 and 25-29 demographics with 57% of the vote. Clinton cutting into his lead among the older Millennials could be bad news for Obama.

Just now on CNN:

The Obama campaign is still holding out hope that they can pull this out tonight.

.other local numbers at 42%
Clinton 6,827, Obama 4,654 in 9 of 12 Manchester wards
Clinton 3,464, Obama 2,089 in 4 of 9 Nashua wards

Spread -- 2 points -- 3,092 votes

Clinton 46,206 (39 percent)
Obama 43,118 (37 percent)
Edwards 19,856 (17 percent)
Richardson 5,420 (5 percent)

45 of precincts reporting (per CNN.com)

Spread -- 3 points -- 2,800 votes

Clinton 43,118 (39 percent)
Obama 40,318 (37 percent)
Edwards 18,513 (17 percent)
Richardson 5,135 (5 percent)

43 of precincts reporting (per CNN.com)
Clinton's lead has fallen below 3,000 votes (2,800 votes to be precise) for the first time in a while, and it has also fallen to 4 points for the first time in a long time (down from 6 points earlier on, but up from a brief 2 points). There seems to be a trend towards Obama -- though whether it will be enough for him to win by a decent margin or at all remains to be seen. Stick around...

Spread -- 2 points -- 2,324 votes
Clinton 40,090 (39 percent)
Obama 37,766 (37 percent)
Edwards 17,145 (17 percent)
Richardson 4,842 (5 percent)

41 of precincts reporting (per CNN.com)

City Breakdown: Clinton's Strongholds Are In, Obama's Are Not Add to Hotlist

by Transplanted Texan, Tue Jan 08, 2008 at 09:21:30 PM EST

Looking at specific city returns on MSNBC, the more progressive precincts have not yet reported. 70% of Manchester precincts are in - Clinton was leading the Manchester area in the final UNH poll 34-19-19. No precincts from Hanover, Lebanon, or Claremont have reported, but UNH gave Obama 42% of the vote in the Connecticut Valley. No precincts from Berlin have reported, but Obama was leading with 40% there.

The overall UNH poll had Obama up, 39-30, and so far we're seeing its regional predictions come true. Pay attention to which precincts have reported. Clinton's strongholds are in, Obama's and Edwards' are not. Let that speak for itself.
.
37,037 (39 percent)
Obama 34,196 (36 percent)
Edwards 14,863 (17 percent)
Richardson 4,109 (5 percent)

38 of precincts reporting (per CNN.com)

Clinton 35,184 (40 percent)
Obama 32,093 (36 percent)
Edwards 14,863 (17 percent)
Richardson 4,109 (5 percent)

36 of precincts reporting (per CNN.com)

Clinton 34,670 (40 percent)
Obama 31,433 (36 percent)
Edwards 14,597 (17 percent)
Richardson 4,022 (5 percent)

35 of precincts reporting (per CNN.com)

Clinton 33,091 (40 percent)

Obama 29,685 (36 percent)

Edwards 13,859 (17 percent)

Richardson 3,868 (5 percent)

33 of precincts reporting (per CNN.com)

Clinton 30,804 (40 percent)
Obama 27,987 (36 percent)
Edwards 12,914 (17 percent)
Richardson 3,630 (5 percent)

31 of precincts reporting (per CNN.com)

correction
Clinton 27,690 (40 percent)
Obama 24,903 (36 percent)
Edwards 11,634 (17 percent)
Richardson 3,298 (5 percent)

26 of precincts reporting (per CNN.com)

Clinton 26,130 (39 percent)
Obama 23,635 (36 percent)
Edwards 11,004 (17 percent)
Richardson 3,116 (5 percent)

26 of precincts reporting (per CNN.com)

Clinton 26,066 (40 percent)
Obama 22,709 (35 percent)
Edwards 10,979 (17 percent)
Richardson 2,946 (5 percent)

25 of precincts reporting (per CNN.com)

.25,557 (40 percent)
Obama 21,975 (34 percent)
Edwards 10,738 (17 percent)
Richardson 2,851 (5 percent)

23 of precincts reporting (per CNN.com)
Clinton 22,468 (40 percent)
Obama 20,193 (36 percent)
Edwards 9,494 (17 percent)
Richardson 2,559 (4 percent)

20 of precincts reporting (per CNN.com)

Clinton 20,269 (40 percent)
Obama 18,430 (36 percent)
Edwards 8,606 (17 percent)
Richardson 2,284 (4 percent)

18 of precincts reporting (per CNN.com)

old thread - if you want to watch the numbers changing
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x3998529