Your Super Tuesday predictions: Make Them here

[WI_DEM]

I predict John Edwards who always closes fast towards the end will win in Georgia and Maryland--and will upset John Kerry in Ohio. He will also do better than expected in California. If he wins all three of these states it will be considered a good night for Edwards.

I think DK will come in second in Massachusetts and additionally will get above the 15% threshold in Minnesota, Vermont, and Ohio.

I think Howard Dean will pick up some delegates on Tuesday even though he suspended his campaign--most likely in Vermont and Minnesota.

[Zynx]

1. The Minnesota Deanies have gone to Edwards mostly.

That should make Edwards competitive there.

[EXE619K]

16. I was at the meeting.

There were about 40-50 diehard Deaners there.

At the end of the evening, I'd say about 80% raised their hands for Edwards.

From the rest, about two people raised their hands for Kucinich.

The rest were for Dean.

Edwards might have a chance.

[Cuban_Liberal]

2. Sounds about right to me.

I'll go with your take on things.:)

[morgan2]

3. a kucinich sweep

you heard it here first...

First he sweeps everything on super tuesday, then I wake up...

[Cuban_Liberal]

5. Hehe!

;)

[King of New Orleans]

4. Sorry to be the wet blanket

Kerry wins CA by about 20-25
NY by about 30
Ohio by 18
Maryland by 15
Georgia by 8

No idea about MN

[MAlibdem]

6. and kerry wins ma by 40% or more

I'll see to it, dont worry JK fans.

[mdmc]

7. Here it is, overall

Kerry AND Edwards = 70%
Dean 25%
Kucinich AND Sharpton 5%

Dean only dropped out to lower Super Tuesday expectations! :~)

[no name no slogan]

8. Except for Minnesota

It's virtually a three-way tie here between Kerry, Edwards and Kucinich. Even the chair of the state party says it's too close to call at this point.

I may even be so bold as to predict that Kucinich could win Minnesota. If not, he will definately be above 15%.

:D

[Nobody]

13. Most of the Dems I know are voting Kucinich

My neighbor has a huge Kucinich sign in the window.

I'm from MN and anything could happen in the only state (excluding DC) that went for Mondale/Ferraro in 1984.

[mdmc]

35. I've been doing GOTV for Dean since last Summer

My friend ran for office in 2003, and we endorsed Dean and carried his lit with us.

We are voting for Kucinich.

I bet in NYS, Kerry will only get 60% of the vote (Only! lol). Edwards, Kucinich, Dean, and Sharpton can make up some ground.

[revcarol]

14. Ooooweeee- Now you're in charge of voting machines?

Seems to me Jeb...

[I Lean Left]

9. Kerry, by margin of victory

Massachusetts
California
New York
Connecticut
Ohio
Minnesota
Vermont
Maryland
Georgia (which he might even lose, but close)

[mbee]

10. Edwards will do well in Maryland, Georgia and Ohio, but

I'm not sure he'll win them. Hopefully, he'll do well enough to go to the convention. I think it should be brokered so I hope I get my wish.

[Kathleen04]

11. Here goes:

CA-Kerry, Edwards, Kucinich, Dean, Sharpton
CT-Kerry, Edwards, Kucinich, Dean, Sharpton
GA-Edwards, Kerry, Sharpton, Kucinich, Dean
MD-Edwards, Kerry, Kucinich, Dean, Sharpton
MA-Kerry, Kerry, Kerry, Kerry, Kucinich ;)
MN-Edwards, Kerry, Kucinich, Dean, Sharpton
NY-Kerry, Edwards, Kucinich, Dean, Sharpton
OH-Edwards, Kerry, Kucinich, Dean, Sharpton
RI-Kerry, Kucinich, Edwards, Dean, Sharpton
VT-Kerry, Dean, Edwards, Kucinich, Sharpton

[bigtree]

12. Kerry Blowout. 7 States

Guaranteed.

[Zynx]

15. Kerry will win about 60% of the delegates.

They are all that matters. Percentages in certain states couldn't concern me one bit.

[windansea]

17. Kerry will carry all seven states

"if the kerry carries...the dems must marry"

would be cool if DK took Minnesota though

[TheBigDemo]

18. I am going to go out on limb and say Kerry wins them all

[zulchzulu]

22. Ding ding! We have a winner

Edwards will not win one state on March 2 and possibly none on March 9.

[Name removed]

19. Deleted message

Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.

[Zynx]

23. If you honestly believe that Kerry will be the end all and be all...

you are sadly mistaken. I am simply hoping for a good steward of the country. Anything more will be bonus, but I don't expect it. John Kerry is not a remarkable man or a remarkable politician.

[zulchzulu]

24. Funny how so many voters can be so wrong

Kerry has won 18 out of 20 states, many by double digits.

Surely they must not have the supreme knowledge you must have.

And the 10 states that will go to Kerry on Tuesday must just be some kind of hallucination perhaps.

[Zynx]

25. Those voters have voted for him based on electability.

I am simply speculating what kind of president he would be. You attacked me on a front I wasn't arguing.

[bigtree]

28. Electibility covers a gambit of concerns

It is not just horse race calculation but a judgement on the totality of the qualities of these candidates. Voters can read the records and they make good judgements. At least Democrats do. :D

[jpgray]

20. jpgray's district turns out 100% for Kucinich. (nt)

[zulchzulu]

21. Do you have a PayPal account?

I'd love to wager you on your prediction. :->

[cosmokramer]

26. NO CHANCE IN HELL EDWARDS WINS OHIO

I am in Ohio, and just spent hours and hours phone banking for Kerry.

Edwards will be in my city tomorrow. Really, he will only be at the airport because NONE of the union halls would give him space for a rally.

If union halls in Ohio refuse to give you space, you are toast here.

Phone banking--200 calls made today, one said she supported Edwards, but I talked her out of it. She wasn't aware that he didn't have any foreign policy experience. She is now voting for Kerry.

I am a Clarkista now supporting Kerry, and I can assure you Edwards will not win Ohio.

My Super Tuesday prediction:

John Kerry wins all of the primaries March 2. Edwards won't even win Georgia.

[Nicholas_J]

31. Latest polls show

Kerry starting to widen his lead over Edwards in Ohio as well.

Latest Columbia dispatch poll for that state:

Kerry 59%
Edwards 28%
Kucinich 5%

2/19-28/04 MoE 2%

http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/CurrentPolls.htm

This polls was done over a relatively long period of time, ten days, so it is more hiilghy indicative of wht is going on over time than the other polls which cover a two or three day period.

[cosmokramer]

34. He's gettin' no love from Ohio or Ohioans. They are going Kerry.

[Clark4Prez]

27. My predictions with numbers

Since I am out on this limb anyway, here are my predictions with numbers

California Kerry 52% Edwards 35% DK 5%
Connecticut Kerry 60% Edwards 25% DK 6%
Maryland Kerry 50% Edwards 32% AS 6% DK 4%
Massachusetts Kerry 65% Edwards 25% DK 5%
New York Kerry 55% Edwards 25% AS 8% DK 2%
Ohio Kerry 50% Edwards 30% DK 12%
Rhode Island Kerry 65% Edwards 24% DK 3%
Vermont Kerry 50% Edwards 30% Dean 12% DK 4%
Georgia Kerry 44% Edwards 40% AS 5%
Minnesota Kerry 38% Edwards 35% DK 25%

[shivaji]

29. Kerry wins them all..................

:toast: :party: :bounce:

They don't call him Mr. ELECTABLE for nothing!!

[jsw_81]

30. Kerry sweeps all ten

The Edwards "campaign" collapses a few days later.

[dawn]

32. I think Edwards will take Minnesota.

Perhaps Georgia as well.

He'll certainly pick up quite a few delegates from CA.

However, I'm sure Kerry will win most of them.

[Mick Knox]

33. Kerry Sweeps... Nomination process effectively over nt

[salin]

36. gd04 primary forum erupts into a flame war

oh... election outcomes ;-)