CNN exit poll shows how Obama will win Super Tuesday

[Joe the Revelator]

In a state where he didn't even campaign, voters began to trend towards him.


When did you decide who to vote for?

Clinton. Obama.


Today: 35% 27%

Last Three Days: 40% 45%

Last Week: 31% 38%

Last Month: 42% 46%

Before that: 64% 25%

Absentee/Early Voter: 49% 29%



(page 5 of their exit poll)

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/epolls/#FLDEM

[The_Casual_Observer]

1. If wishes were horses beggars would ride.

[Joe the Revelator]

3. Who's wishing? I'm looking at facts here

Keep covering your eyes if you want to though. Thats cool too.

[The_Casual_Observer]

14. You're saying that you have "THE math"?

:rofl:

You've got the Obama patter down, "If only you would open your eyes & walk toward the light"

:rofl:

[Blue_State_Elitist]

30. We just don't get it do we?

[Hoof Hearted]

40. This is some pretty funny shit coming out tonight, isn't it?

There must be some smoke coming out of some rooms somewhere.

It's like political potty-training.

[Tulkas]

10. They would also eat lots of horse burgers

[never_get_over_it]

35. Did your grandmother teach you that expression

my grandmother use to say that to me ALL the time - hardly ever hear that expression - since it came from her it is truly one of my favorites...thanks for bringing up a good memory

I was thinking about it the other day and thought to myself I must have said I WISH to her a lot

I loved that woman so much and lost her WAY too soon...

[The_Casual_Observer]

52. A dear old work colleague used to say it. at appropriate moments.

[rinsd]

2. Except for the fact that quite a few Sooper Dooper Tuesday states have early voting.

[Joe the Revelator]

4. I wouldn't hang my hat on counting for that. There was no ground org nization in Florida

There will be on Super Tuesday.

[rinsd]

6. New CA poll from SurveyUSA shows that early voting could be the difference.

[Joe the Revelator]

12. If its that close, its already a win for Obama.

After being down as far as he was, for as long as he was, as long as he can hit 30% in Cali, and keep Hillary's delegate count low, he will be ok.

[rinsd]

25. So victory for Obama is getting 30% in CA? That's pathetic.

[AX10]

27. Spin, Spin, Spin...

for Obama. Whatever Obama wants, Obama gets.

[joshcryer]

32. Yes, they're banking on delegates, not majority of popular vote.

[jackson_dem]

39. Especially since he will lose New York

If he loses the two biggest states in terms of delegates (although Texas has a larger population than New York) that can't be spun as a good night for him.

[Joe the Revelator]

44. Don't blame me, blame proportional delegate counts

Hillary needs separation on Super Tuesday, She's not going to get it if Obama is winning delegates at a real close pace to Hillary. Obama with 30% nullifies the state.

[NJSecularist]

7. Is that what the Hillary campaign is pegging their livelihood on during Super Tuesday?

The early vote?

She'll lose on Super Tuesday if all she has to fall back on is the early vote.

[babylonsister]

11. I get it- they've already been duped! Ain't that grand. nt

[TheDeathadder]

5. let just wait and see what Feb 5th

has to say about Feb 5th

[Joe the Revelator]

8. No harm reading a few tea leaves.

[Karmadillo]

17. But maybe you should stop smoking them.

nt

[Hoof Hearted]

45. Oh Damn!

:spray: :spank: :rofl:

[TheDeathadder]

26. without a doubt

we should look at all the possible outcomes and the intelligence that's gathered to make the predictions. Just stay civil during the discussion and remember it's the Repubs we want to destroy.

You know, off the subject, I as a HRC supporter, much like most of both the Clinton people and the Obama people, thought never could a Clinton/Obama (or Obama/Clinton) ticket exist. Seeing talk though now of rumors of a McCain/Huckabee ticket, we might need a Clinton/Obama (or Obama/Clinton) ticket. For the Dems to have house/senate, the white house, and swing the courts back in our favor.

[DURHAM D]

9. Why are you celebrating.

The people who decided today voted 8% Clinton over Obama.

I guess that "snub" thing mattered.

[UALRBSofL]

13. Don't forget Obama ran ads

On MSM every day for 2 weeks and they ran every 3 to 4 hours. That helps with face recognition.

[KittyWampus]

36. actually they ran one week. and I didn't hear they ran every 3 hours.

[jackson_dem]

42. Which explains the numbers in the Op

[UALRBSofL]

53. Well they ran in my part of florida for 2 weeks

:)

[William769]

15. Going by those exit polls and early voting

Hillary has already Won Super Tuesday?

[Tulkas]

16. I like the "vote by education" one

The more educated you are, the less likely you are to vote for Hillary.

[loveangelc]

19. SO TRUE.

[DURHAM D]

24. Please see post below for comment on your ignorance. n/t

[mondo joe]

31. What advanced degrees do you hold?

[1corona4u]

49. LOL...

I addressed that one time, and they locked the thread. ;-)

[Metric System]

20. How elitist of you. Maybe the Obama camp can make that as their official slogan. I'm sure

it would win over many voters.

[UALRBSofL]

34. Did Obama indicate educated people

Would prefer to vote for him over Hillary?? OMG, that's a bad statement on Obama's part.

[KittyWampus]

37. he also wins rural voters.

[1corona4u]

50. And rich voters....don't forget them....

[DURHAM D]

23. Until this election the "uneducated" voters were referred to

as working class or blue collar. Otherwise known as the heart of the Democratic party.

Since you stupidly repeat the right wing media construct to bash fellow Democrats I am guessing you are not actually a Dem.

[AX10]

28. It's all about Obama's elitist supporters.

[UALRBSofL]

41. I'm sorry you feel that way

But tried and true Democrat and I'm sure longer then you. However, the fact it was posted that Obama indicated that educated people would vote for him over Hillary is very elitist.

[mondo joe]

29. You mean the working class is more likely to support Hillary? Good for her.

[ErnestoG]

38. If the working class owns stock in Walmart and McDonnell Douglas.

maybe.

[jackson_dem]

46. The facts are Hillary does best among working folks; Obama with the wealthy

[mondo joe]

47. Hm, you all can't seem to make up your mind. First the diss is that Hillary supporters are poor and

uneducated, then that they are wealthy.

You Hillary haters ought to decide whether it's the poor or the rich you find so inferior.

[jackson_dem]

43. Obama: the "unifier" of elitists

Formal education is not the same as being politically informed.

[Yael]

18. I see only two people are running. How Republican.

[Joe the Revelator]

21. I'm sorry, but I was entering those on my own.

[1corona4u]

51. Yes, and those copy and paste jobs can take like....

seconds to complete.

[jackson_dem]

22. That is what happens when you run ads and no one else does

He won't have this advantage on Super Tuesday.

[Big Blue Marble]

33. Those are very important numbers.

Pundits were saying to watch for this trend last night.

[Radical Activist]

48. That has been the trend in every state.

Everyone knew who Hillary was at the start but the more people get to know Obama, the more support he earns.

[tom_paine]

54. Just the principles of advertising and marketing being used to pick our candidate for us

The New Totalitarianism certainly is subtle and unique. I wonder what historians will call it, if there is any history left.

[WinkyDink]

55. We shall see.