Rasmussen Poll: Obama up 10% in New Jersey; Hillary up 4%

[Adelante]

A new Rasmussen poll shows the Democratic race to be tightening somewhat in New Jersey, though Hillary Clinton still has a good-sized lead. Here are the numbers, compared to Rasmussen's own poll from two weeks ago:

Clinton 49% (+4)
Obama 37% (+10)

While it is virtually impossible that Hillary Clinton could ever lose this state's primary, being a heavily suburban state right next door to New York, a potentially weak majority would rob her of what was hoped to be a huge delegate advantage.

http://tpmelectioncentral.com/2008/02/rasmussen_hillarys_lead_shrink.php


Adding on edit:

Clinton leads by 24-percentage points among women while Obama leads by five-points among men.

Seventy-seven percent (77%) of Obama’s supporters are “certain” they will vote for him and not change their mind. Sixty-eight percent (68%) of Clinton’s voters are that certain of their support.

Seventy-five percent (75%) of Garden State voters have a favorable opinion of Clinton. The former First Lady earns positive reviews from 84% of women in the state along with 63% of men.

Obama is viewed favorably by 77%, including 82% of men and 74% of women.

Seventy-seven percent (77%) say that Clinton would be at least somewhat likely to win the White House if nominated by the Democrats. An identical percentage say that Obama would have a chance to win.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/new_jersey/new_jersey_democratic_presidential_primary

[thesubstanceofdreams]

1. Polls are tightening in most ST states

Getting more and more likely that neither candidate will have a big delegate lead after Super Tuesday.

[TornadoTN]

5. That's how I see it playing out

I was confident back before the campaign kicked off "full scale" in Iowa that we would have a candidate by Super Tuesday but its increasingly looking like with this race that its going to come down to the wire. Then the Super delegates come into play which is going to make this thing very complicated.

Here's to hoping we see a clear edge either way!

[bernicewilliams]

2. Translation: Obama's momentum in NJ too slow

At this pace, considering that he's cut into Clinton's lead by 3% weekly since the last poll, he would lose by 9%.

After winning SC and all the publicity of the endorsements, i wouldn't be happy about losing by the margin here.

[cali]

3. do you understand how delegates are awarded?

If he can come within 10 points of her in NJ, he'll pick up a significant number of delegates. I think he'll likely close by a few more points.

[suston96]

4. NJ RCP averages....

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/nj/new_jersey_democratic_primary-246.html