Clinton looking ahead to March 4 Texas and Ohio primaries

[jackson_dem]

-snip-

By Anne E. Kornblut
All eyes are on Feb. 5, but the Clinton campaign is looking ahead even further: to March 4, when both Ohio and Texas will hold their nominating contests.

Clinton hopes to win the majority of votes in four states next Tuesday: California, New York, New Jersey and Arkansas. But her advisers are already quietly conceding that the delegate count will be close at the end of the day, thanks to Democratic rules that award most delegates proportionally by congressional district.

That means that the race will almost surely drag on. Obama strategists have their focus on Feb. 9 (when Louisiana votes for 69 delegates) and Feb. 12 (when D.C., Virginia and Maryland vote for a total of 238 delegates). Clinton will naturally campaign in the states with races throughout the month (Washington State, Wisconsin and Maine are among the races after Feb. 5). But her real target is March 4, when Ohio (with 161 delegates) and Texas (and 221 delegates) vote, advisers said in interviews this week.

A bit of expectations managing? Perhaps. Any chance she will campaign in the Virgin Islands, whose nine delegates are awarded Feb. 9? Unlikely. For now, Clinton is in California, with a San Francisco fundraiser on Friday night, moving on to New Mexico, Arizona and Missouri over the weekend. She campaigns in Massachusetts and Connecticut on Monday.

http://blog.washingtonpost.com/the-trail/2008/02/01/clinton_advisers_see_a_race_th.html?hpid=topnews

[liberalnurse]

1. Hillary Clinton has Ohio.

Ohio-Clinton.............it is what it is..............


She is the ONE!

[desi]

3. You've got that right...

:hi: Are you getting a lot of Obama/Caroline ads running there? I'm going to wear out the mute button up here.

[tekisui]

2. Honestly, I don't know how they do it.

They travel all over, non-stop. 30 engagements on some days. Campaigns like this must wear a body out.

I am amazed how they can do it.

[CreekDog]

4. Anyone who thinks politicians are lazy

hasn't paid attention.

[angie_love]

5. ...

I think Ohio goes to Obama. Its close to Illinois and if he has alot of time he can do very well there. The more Obama stays in a state the more people move to him.

[SammyWinstonJack]

6. Well if Edwards is on the ballot in Texas, that is who I am voting for.

Sorry Hillary. :shrug:

[ccpup]

7. I think she'll be neck-and-neck with Barack through February

and begin to pull away with the March 4th Primary. If he doesn't do well in Mississippi on the 11th of March, then he'll have to do EXTRAORDINARILY well on April 22nd in Pennsylvania which is when I strongly suspect she'll lock up the requisite number of delegates.

[Reciprocity]

8. FYI Texas has 220 delegates total.

IVR poll
http://ivrpolls.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=32&Itemid=1

January 11, 2008

Among Texas Democrats, Barack Obama had his best showing yet, but Hillary Clinton still has a solid lead. Clinton maintains her strength among Whites over 60 and among Latino women, while Obama maintains his strength among African-Americans, but there is significant movement among Latino men. While Clinton has had a very strong lead among all Latinos, Obama is now almost tied among Latino men. There was no other demographic segment that showed significant movement. Bill Richardson had received most of his Latino support from men, so his supporters may have moved to Obama when he dropped out of the race. That is not enough to account for all of Obama's gain, but it may help explain that one noticable shift.

John Edwards did particularly well among middle aged white men, but received almost no support from African-Americans and did much worse among women than men in most age and ethnic groupings. Dennis Kucinich held steady at 1%, Mike Gravel surged to 1% and 10% were undecided.

564 polled 1/10/08, Margin of Error 4.1%

Clinton 46% (51%)
Obama 28% (17%)
Edwards 14% (15%)
Kucinich 1% (1%)
Gravel 1% (0%)
Undecided 10%
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Huckabee 26% (29%)
McCain 24% (7%)
Thompson 12% (14%)
Romney 11% (14%)
Giuliani 10% (16%)
Paul 4% (6%)
Hunter 3% (2%)
Keyes 0% (0%)
Undecided 8%
725 polled 1/10/08, Margin of Error 3.6%

[cali]

9. There's a new TX poll out today

and he's now within ten points. He's made rapid gains there and he has a month to campaign. He could well take TX.

[jackson_dem]

10. He may

Either way no one is going to have a big delegate win in Texas, and presumably also Ohio. I see this going long into March and even April. It may come down to money. Can Hillary match raising $32 million a month?

[Reciprocity]

11. When I Googled this is what I got. Do you have a link?

[cali]

12. here you go:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=4333757&mesg_id=4333757

[Reciprocity]

13. Thanks.

Here is the source link. Why it did not show for me is a mystery.
http://www.ivrpolls.com/
Clinton 48% (46%)
Obama 38% (28%)
Gravel 3% (0%)
Undecided 10% (8%)

[Reciprocity]

14. Poll Opinion Consultants: Ohio voters behind Clinton, McCain

http://www.bizjournals.com/columbus/stories/2008/01/28/daily37.html
In the ongoing presidential primary races,
44 percent of surveyed Ohio Democrats preferred Clinton,
trailed by Sen. Barack Obama with 28 percent
support and former Sen. John Edwards, who has since dropped out of the race, with 17 percent.