AL POLL: Hillary 46 (-3), Obama 41 (+13)

[jefferson_dem]

Alabama: Clinton 46% Obama 41%
Saturday, February 02, 2008

Hillary Clinton’s lead over Barack Obama in Alabama has fallen ten points in a week.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey, conducted Thursday night, found Clinton attracting 46% of the vote while Obama earned 41%. Seven percent (7%) said they would vote for some other candidate while 6% are not sure.

Eight days earlier, Clinton enjoyed a 43% to 28% lead. In between, of course, was Obama’s huge victory in South Carolina including high-profile endorsements from the daughter and brother of martyred President John F. Kennedy. Those events changed the tone of the race for the Democratic nomination. Obama has gained ground nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and in several states including California and Massachusetts (see summary of Super Tuesday polls).

Still, while Clinton has lost ground, she started from a very solid position. So, both nationally and in Alabama, it remains to be seen whether Obama’s surge will be enough to actually take the lead or if he will fall just a little bit short.

In Alabama, Clinton leads by eight among women and by two percentage points among men.

While Obama leads by a two-to-one margin among African-American voters in the state, Clinton still attracts 30% of this important segment of the electorate.

Seventy-nine percent (79%) of Clinton’s voters say they are “certain” they will vote for her. Five percent (5%) of her supporters say there’s a good chance they could change their mind while another 20% say they might change their mind.

For Obama, 82% are “certain” and just 2% say there’s a good chance they could change their mind. Another 16% of Obama’s voters say they might change their mind.

Clinton is viewed favorably by 82% of the state’s Likely Primary Voters, Obama by 70%. Obama is viewed favorably by 89% of African-American voters but just 51% of White Voters.

<SNIP>

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/alabama/alabama_democratic_presidential_primary

[GalleryGod]

1. There's clearly an unequivocal "movement in the FORCE"

Good luck to EVERYONE !!!

[Sulawesi]

3. The movement is great, but...

Look at the difference in favorables for Obama between African Americans and whites. Race is going to be an anchor in the water for him among white democrats in the South. Hoping for the best!

[TexasObserver]

2. I predict Alabama goes for Obama.

Crimson Tide rolls in.

[Rosa Luxemburg]

4. most likely