ARG POLL had Obama 51-40 in Illinois, even I will admit that's bullshit

[Herman Munster]

It's a crap poll, with crap numbers. If I was an Obama supporter and it showed Missiouri within 2 points while Rasmussen and other polls showed Hillary with a double digit lead, I'd be scared because the opposite of whatever ARG says is usually what happens. It's a great counter indicator.

[bigwillq]

1. Stop paying attention to polls.

[Zynx]

2. That is total stinking garbage.

If I were them and I got those numbers I would have fudged them to bring them closer to reality.

[The Velveteen Ocelot]

3. He's FROM Illinois. Why is it odd for him to win his home state by a wide margin?

[Silent3]

12. You're missing her point

Even as a Clinton supporter, the OP expects Obama to be ahead in Illinois by MORE than the 11 points the ARG poll gives him. He/she expects him to be winning by an even wider margin.

[The Velveteen Ocelot]

13. Oh, OK. I'm not much of a poll-watcher, so I tend to be a little vague on these things.

So often they turn out to be wrong anyhow...

[NJSecularist]

4. I agree that ARG is crap

regardless of the circumstances.

But a recent Survey USA poll shows Hillary's lead down to 4.

Clinton 48
Obama 44

But I don't think Obama will win Missouri like the recent ARG survey says.

[bluestateguy]

5. ARG's polls have been garbage all year long

They should do the dignified thing and go out of business and stop embarassing themselves.

[Yurovsky]

6. Yep, those are bogus numbers ...

Obama is going to win Illinois by at least 20%.

[featherman]

7. Not happening as we know

I do expect Obama to pull over 60 in this one and get the delegate bonus

[KittyWampus]

8. It's a great counter indicator. Is this true? I don't know. But let's not get too devoted to polls

[godai]

9. At this point, polls don't really matter

Chances are that nothing final will be decided for the Democrats on Tuesday. I heard (MSNBC) that Clinton may end up with about a 100 delegate lead but not enough to seal the nomination. What will go forward however, is the all important momentum, based on delegates and number of states won etc.

[loveangelc]

10. Since when have you said ARG is bullshit????? You are quite full of it.

[Lucinda]

11. I'd say its possible IF Edwards voters went for Hillary in a big block

But thats a big if. :)

[madrchsod]

14. 9pts is`t right

i`d say 15..he`s getting the chicago and a few other cities but hillary is popular here in illinois. it`s not going to be a blow out. shit my democratic party here is going for hillary funny obama stopped here while running for senate.